Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SAH / earnings

GPI (78) ABG (49) OPLN (63) RUSHA (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.9% Move

$63.61 +0.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.85

Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (16% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $2.01B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.85 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 2.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SAH SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($417.5M FCF) & 15.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.7) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$60.56+5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$63.61-3.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$61.28+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$63.61+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SAH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, SAH faces multiple-compression risk if 16.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.84) or 200D SMA ($73.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($67.33) toward Bear Floor ($52.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SAH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SAH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.9% Swing Band

±$6.30 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SAH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $3.75 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6.5%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$15.15B	$118.7M	$417.5M	15.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$14.22B	$216.0M	-$78.1M	15.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$14.37B	$178.2M	-$15.7M	15.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SAH & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SAH
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SAH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.23%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $63.51H $65.97L $61.99C $63.61VOL 413.0K

RES: $60.95SUP: $52.67SMA50: $67.84SMA200: $73.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SAH Butterfly Map → + Track SAH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #158 of 1011 ⚔️ GPI vs SAH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SAH vs. GPI, ABG, OPLN, RUSHA)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) ranks #158 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #414 by equity capitalization ($2.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABG leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while GPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. GPI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with SAH at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SAH ACTIVE Sonic Automotive Inc.	B-	71/100	16.9x	15.7%	11.1%	+0.78%	$2.01B	Benchmark Subject
GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc.	B+	78/100	9.5x	16.0%	21.0%	+4.18%	$3.10B	/gpi-vs-sah →
ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc	D	49/100	7.3x	17.1%	14.0%	+2.97%	$3.58B	/abg-vs-sah →
OPLN OPENLANE Inc.	C	63/100	26.6x	—	9.5%	+2.70%	$4.73B	/opln-vs-sah →
RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A	C	63/100	19.1x	20.7%	13.7%	+4.41%	$5.08B	/rusha-vs-sah →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) reported GAAP revenue of $15.15B (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.22B , and +5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $118.7M, operating cash flow of $567.4M, and free cash flow of $417.5M (+634.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAH closed FY2025 with $5.97B in total assets against $1.56B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$15.15B	$118.7M	$567.4M	$417.5M	$5.97B	$1.56B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$14.22B	$216.0M	$109.2M	-$78.1M	$5.90B	$1.51B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.37B	$178.2M	-$15.7M	-$15.7M	—	—

3. SAH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sonic Automotive Inc. (NYSE: SAH) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $63.61 (+0.78% 1D, market cap $2.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SAH ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAH compare to GPI and ABG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), SAH carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.9x, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, GPI (Group 1 Automotive Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $3.10B) and ABG (Asbury Automotive Group Inc) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAH?

Per SAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043509), Sonic Automotive Inc. generated $15.15B in revenue (+6.5% YoY), $118.7M in net income, and $417.5M in free cash flow against $5.97B in total assets and $1.56B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (16% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAH last traded at $63.61 (+0.78% on volume of 480,469 shares), positioning the stock -6.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.84) and -13.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($73.22). Across its 52-week range of $54.11 to $113.67, SAH sits at the 16.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($57.31 to $69.91).

SAH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SAH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SAH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.9% event move for SAH, spanning a range between $57.31 and $69.91.

Direct Sub-Reports: SAH RQD Cockpit SAH 12M Forecast SAH Earnings & Move SAH Dividends & DRIP SAH Insiders & 13F SAH Whale Options SAH Profit Sankey SAH News & Why