MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why RVLV Stock surged +2.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$23.09 +2.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.24
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (54% profit margin, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B+ • BUY
Cap $1.64B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.24 (+0.64%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 3.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk A-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RVLV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RVLV SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.9% FCF Margin ($48.0M FCF) & 53.5% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 7.15 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-6 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$21.69+5.1% Next Q
72
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$22.80-2.4% Next Q
75
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B+$22.26+3.7% Next Q
77
CurrentGrade B+$23.09+8.2% Hist 90D α
80
Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RVLV Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, RVLV faces multiple-compression risk if 26.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 51.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.76) or 200D SMA ($23.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.38) toward Bear Floor ($18.93).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RVLV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RVLV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RVLV Stock surged +2.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) surged +2.21% to $23.09, trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($17.35 – $31.68). High-quality cash engine (54% profit margin, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($17.35 – $31.68) with RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $23.09 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 53.5% gross margin and $48.0M annual free cash flow.
Live RVLV Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RVLV Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RVLV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $23.22H $23.47L $22.34C $23.09VOL 934.5K
RES: $23.35SUP: $20.08SMA50: $21.76SMA200: $23.32
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RVLV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RVLV today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RVLV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RVLV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RVLV)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #28 of 1011
⚔️ LUXE vs RVLV Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RVLV vs. LUXE, CNXN, GCT, HEPS)
Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) ranks #28 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #444 by equity capitalization ($1.64B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVLV
ACTIVE
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) | B+ | 80/100 | 26.6x | 53.5% | 26.6% | +2.21% | $1.64B | Benchmark Subject |
| LUXE LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +5.99% | $1.33B | /luxe-vs-rvlv → |
| CNXN PC Connection Inc. | C | 62/100 | 25.8x | 18.8% | 10.9% | -1.02% | $2.16B | /cnxn-vs-rvlv → |
| GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) | B | 75/100 | 15.8x | 23.3% | 85.0% | -0.02% | $2.16B | /gct-vs-rvlv → |
| HEPS D-Market Electronic Services & Trading | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.36% | $1.20B | /heps-vs-rvlv → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001746618In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.23B (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.13B , and +14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $61.7M, operating cash flow of $59.4M, and free cash flow of $48.0M (+128.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RVLV closed FY2025 with $765.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.15, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.23B | $61.7M | $59.4M | $48.0M | $765.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.13B | $49.6M | $26.7M | $21.0M | $665.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.07B | $28.1M | $43.3M | $43.3M | — | — |
3. RVLV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RVLV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: RVLV) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $23.09 (+2.21% 1D, market cap $1.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RVLV ranks #28 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RVLV compare to LUXE and CNXN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), RVLV carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.6x, gross margin of 53.5%, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, LUXE (LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.33B) and CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RVLV?
Per RVLV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001746618), Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.23B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $61.7M in net income, and $48.0M in free cash flow against $765.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RVLV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RVLV last traded at $23.09 (+2.21% on volume of 733,297 shares), positioning the stock +6.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.76) and -0.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.32). Across its 52-week range of $17.35 to $31.68, RVLV sits at the 40.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($21.22 to $24.96).
RVLV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RVLV stock moving today?
Why RVLV Stock surged +2.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (54% profit margin, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support.