Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RVLV / forecast

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Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$23.09 +2.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.24

Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (54% profit margin, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.64B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.24 (+0.64%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 3.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RVLV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RVLV SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.9% FCF Margin ($48.0M FCF) & 53.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.15 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-6 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$21.69+5.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$22.80-2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$22.26+3.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$23.09+8.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RVLV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, RVLV faces multiple-compression risk if 26.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 51.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.76) or 200D SMA ($23.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.38) toward Bear Floor ($18.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RVLV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RVLV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 80%NO 20%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RVLV Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $23.09: 433.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $18.93

$8,198

$-1,802 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $25.38

$10,992

+$992 (+9.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $33.26

$14,405

+$4,405 (+44.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$26	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	STRONG BUY	$31	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$22	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RVLV Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RVLV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $23.22H $23.47L $22.34C $23.09VOL 934.5K

RES: $23.35SUP: $20.08SMA50: $21.76SMA200: $23.32

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RVLV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RVLV Butterfly Map → + Track RVLV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

20.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RVLV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RVLV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RVLV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RVLV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #28 of 1011 ⚔️ LUXE vs RVLV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RVLV vs. LUXE, CNXN, GCT, HEPS)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) ranks #28 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #444 by equity capitalization ($1.64B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RVLV ACTIVE Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)	B+	80/100	26.6x	53.5%	26.6%	+2.21%	$1.64B	Benchmark Subject
LUXE LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+5.99%	$1.33B	/luxe-vs-rvlv →
CNXN PC Connection Inc.	C	62/100	25.8x	18.8%	10.9%	-1.02%	$2.16B	/cnxn-vs-rvlv →
GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)	B	75/100	15.8x	23.3%	85.0%	-0.02%	$2.16B	/gct-vs-rvlv →
HEPS D-Market Electronic Services & Trading	D	51/100	—	—	—	+0.36%	$1.20B	/heps-vs-rvlv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001746618

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.23B (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.13B , and +14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $61.7M, operating cash flow of $59.4M, and free cash flow of $48.0M (+128.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RVLV closed FY2025 with $765.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.15, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.23B	$61.7M	$59.4M	$48.0M	$765.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.13B	$49.6M	$26.7M	$21.0M	$665.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.07B	$28.1M	$43.3M	$43.3M	—	—

3. RVLV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RVLV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: RVLV) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $23.09 (+2.21% 1D, market cap $1.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RVLV ranks #28 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RVLV compare to LUXE and CNXN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), RVLV carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.6x, gross margin of 53.5%, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, LUXE (LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.33B) and CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RVLV?

Per RVLV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001746618), Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.23B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $61.7M in net income, and $48.0M in free cash flow against $765.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RVLV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RVLV last traded at $23.09 (+2.21% on volume of 733,297 shares), positioning the stock +6.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.76) and -0.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.32). Across its 52-week range of $17.35 to $31.68, RVLV sits at the 40.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($21.22 to $24.96).

RVLV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RVLV's 12-month stock price target?

Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $25.38 (+9.9% from $23.09), with a bull-case target of $33.26 and a bear-case floor of $18.93.

Is RVLV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RVLV B+ (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 80/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: RVLV RQD Cockpit RVLV 12M Forecast RVLV Earnings & Move RVLV Dividends & DRIP RVLV Insiders & 13F RVLV Whale Options RVLV Profit Sankey RVLV News & Why