MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why RUM Stock dropped -3.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.60 -3.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.56
RUM Group Inc. (Class A) (RUM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $2.78B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.56 (-0.75%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RUM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RUM SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (32% of score)
Altman Z-Score 24.36 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 16% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$6.96-18.2% Next Q
46
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$5.69-0.9% Next Q
43
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$5.64-0.7% Next Q
41
CurrentGrade D-$5.60-7.8% Hist 90D α
38
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RUM Turnaround Squeeze
While RUM currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.59) and Max Pain ($5.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.13.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RUM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RUM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RUM Stock dropped -3.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
RUM Group Inc. (Class A) (RUM) dropped -3.11% to $5.60, trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($4.62 – $10.6). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($4.62 – $10.6) with RSI-14 at 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.3% around $5.60 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live RUM Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RUM)
- ✓Walkthrough of RUM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RUM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $5.37H $5.60L $5.17C $5.60VOL 3.89M
RES: $10.65SUP: $2.91SMA50: $7.59SMA200: $6.72
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RUM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RUM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RUM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RUM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RUM)
Technology Rank #571 of 714
⚔️ PPLI vs RUM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RUM vs. PPLI, CSQR, MGNI, WIX)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RUM Group Inc. (Class A) (RUM) ranks #571 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #261 by equity capitalization ($2.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGNI leads on earnings valuation at 22.2x trailing P/E, while MGNI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.8% ROIC and 62.7% gross margin. MGNI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with RUM at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUM
ACTIVE
RUM Group Inc. (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | — | -6.7% | -35.0% | -3.11% | $2.78B | Benchmark Subject |
| PPLI People Incorporated | D | 47/100 | — | 66.2% | -1.5% | +0.36% | $2.67B | /ppli-vs-rum → |
| CSQR Csquare Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -2.86% | $2.49B | /csqr-vs-rum → |
| MGNI Magnite Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 22.2x | 62.7% | 10.8% | +3.03% | $3.22B | /mgni-vs-rum → |
| WIX Wix.com Ltd. | D+ | 55/100 | 64.5x | 68.1% | 0.8% | -0.64% | $3.27B | /wix-vs-rum → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001830081In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), RUM Group Inc. (Class A) (RUM) reported GAAP revenue of $100.6M (+5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $95.5M , and +24.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$81.8M, operating cash flow of -$70.4M, and free cash flow of -$74.5M (+16.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RUM closed FY2025 with $336.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 24.36, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $100.6M | -$81.8M | -$70.4M | -$74.5M | $336.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $95.5M | -$338.4M | -$87.0M | -$89.7M | $195.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $81.0M | -$116.4M | -$92.9M | -$92.9M | — | — |
3. RUM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RUM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, RUM Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RUM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $5.60 (-3.11% 1D, market cap $2.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RUM ranks #571 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RUM compare to PPLI and CSQR in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), RUM carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -6.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PPLI (People Incorporated) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.5%, cap $2.67B) and CSQR (Csquare Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGNI leads on earnings multiple (22.2x) while MGNI leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RUM?
Per RUM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001830081), RUM Group Inc. (Class A) generated $100.6M in revenue (+5.4% YoY), -$81.8M in net income, and -$74.5M in free cash flow against $336.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RUM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RUM last traded at $5.60 (-3.11% on volume of 2,132,524 shares), positioning the stock -26.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.59) and -16.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.72). Across its 52-week range of $4.62 to $10.60, RUM sits at the 16.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($4.91 to $6.29).
RUM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RUM stock moving today?
Why RUM Stock dropped -3.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.