Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.99 -0.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.22B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$10 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE RSKD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RSKD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RSKD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.99: 1112.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.86
$7,631
$-2,369 (-23.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.79
$9,778
$-222 (-2.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.37
$11,535
+$1,535 (+15.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RSKD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RSKD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RSKD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +95.01%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $8.76H $8.99L $8.46C $8.99VOL 1.95M
RES: $9.39SUP: $5.74SMA50: $7.41SMA200: $5.40
$9.58$8.15$6.72$5.29$3.86RES $9.39SUP $5.74$8.992026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RSKD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RSKD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RSKD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RSKD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RSKD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #585 of 1011 ⚔️ AHG vs RSKD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RSKD vs. AHG, LQDT, NUTX, QNST)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) ranks #585 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #488 by equity capitalization ($1.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NUTX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with RSKD at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RSKD ACTIVE
Riskified Ltd. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — 51.7% -20.3% -0.55% $1.22B Benchmark Subject
AHG
Akso Health Group ADS
D- 41/100 — -0.1% — +2.31% $1.14B /ahg-vs-rskd →
LQDT
Liquidity Services Inc.
B 72/100 50.5x 43.8% 12.9% +3.32% $1.42B /lqdt-vs-rskd →
NUTX
Nutex Health Inc.
B 75/100 20.3x 50.8% 85.0% -1.19% $1.44B /nutx-vs-rskd →
QNST
QuinStreet Inc.
B 73/100 — 10.1% 2.6% +4.83% $980.8M /qnst-vs-rskd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001851112

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) reported GAAP revenue of $344.6M (+5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $327.5M , and +15.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$27.6M, operating cash flow of $33.9M, and free cash flow of $33.1M (-15.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RSKD closed FY2025 with $410.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $344.6M -$27.6M $33.9M $33.1M $410.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $327.5M -$34.9M $39.7M $39.1M $495.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $297.6M -$59.0M $7.3M $7.3M — —

3. RSKD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RSKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (NYSE: RSKD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $8.99 (-0.55% 1D, market cap $1.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RSKD ranks #585 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RSKD compare to AHG and LQDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RSKD carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.7%, and ROIC of -20.3%. By comparison, AHG (Akso Health Group ADS) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.14B) and LQDT (Liquidity Services Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 50.5x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $1.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RSKD?

Per RSKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851112), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) generated $344.6M in revenue (+5.2% YoY), -$27.6M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $410.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RSKD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RSKD last traded at $8.99 (-0.55% on volume of 901,623 shares), positioning the stock +21.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.41) and +66.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.40). Across its 52-week range of $3.70 to $9.23, RSKD sits at the 95.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($7.98 to $10.00).

RSKD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RSKD's 12-month stock price target?

Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.79 (-2.2% from $8.99), with a bull-case target of $10.37 and a bear-case floor of $6.86.

Is RSKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RSKD D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

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