Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RSKD / earnings

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Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.2% Move

$8.99 -0.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.96

Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.22B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.96 (-0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 9.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

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SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RSKD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RSKD SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.12 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 96% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$8.53-3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.22+11.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$9.15-1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$8.99-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RSKD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RSKD currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.41) and Max Pain ($9.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RSKD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RSKD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.2% Swing Band

±$1.01 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RSKD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.2%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$344.6M	-$27.6M	$33.1M	51.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$327.5M	-$34.9M	$39.1M	52.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$297.6M	-$59.0M	$7.3M	51.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RSKD)

✓Walkthrough of RSKD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RSKD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +95.01%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $8.76H $8.99L $8.46C $8.99VOL 1.95M

RES: $9.39SUP: $5.74SMA50: $7.41SMA200: $5.40

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RSKD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RSKD Butterfly Map → + Track RSKD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RSKD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RSKD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RSKD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RSKD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #585 of 1011 ⚔️ AHG vs RSKD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RSKD vs. AHG, LQDT, NUTX, QNST)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) ranks #585 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #488 by equity capitalization ($1.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NUTX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with RSKD at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RSKD ACTIVE Riskified Ltd. (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	51.7%	-20.3%	-0.55%	$1.22B	Benchmark Subject
AHG Akso Health Group ADS	D-	41/100	—	-0.1%	—	+2.31%	$1.14B	/ahg-vs-rskd →
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc.	B	72/100	50.5x	43.8%	12.9%	+3.32%	$1.42B	/lqdt-vs-rskd →
NUTX Nutex Health Inc.	B	75/100	20.3x	50.8%	85.0%	-1.19%	$1.44B	/nutx-vs-rskd →
QNST QuinStreet Inc.	B	73/100	—	10.1%	2.6%	+4.83%	$980.8M	/qnst-vs-rskd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001851112

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) reported GAAP revenue of $344.6M (+5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $327.5M , and +15.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$27.6M, operating cash flow of $33.9M, and free cash flow of $33.1M (-15.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RSKD closed FY2025 with $410.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$344.6M	-$27.6M	$33.9M	$33.1M	$410.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$327.5M	-$34.9M	$39.7M	$39.1M	$495.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$297.6M	-$59.0M	$7.3M	$7.3M	—	—

3. RSKD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RSKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (NYSE: RSKD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $8.99 (-0.55% 1D, market cap $1.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RSKD ranks #585 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RSKD compare to AHG and LQDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RSKD carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.7%, and ROIC of -20.3%. By comparison, AHG (Akso Health Group ADS) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.14B) and LQDT (Liquidity Services Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 50.5x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $1.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RSKD?

Per RSKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851112), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) generated $344.6M in revenue (+5.2% YoY), -$27.6M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $410.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RSKD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RSKD last traded at $8.99 (-0.55% on volume of 901,623 shares), positioning the stock +21.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.41) and +66.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.40). Across its 52-week range of $3.70 to $9.23, RSKD sits at the 95.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($7.98 to $10.00).

RSKD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RSKD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RSKD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.2% event move for RSKD, spanning a range between $7.98 and $10.

Direct Sub-Reports: RSKD RQD Cockpit RSKD 12M Forecast RSKD Earnings & Move RSKD Dividends & DRIP RSKD Insiders & 13F RSKD Whale Options RSKD Profit Sankey RSKD News & Why