Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / RMCF / forecast

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Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc. (RMCF) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$0.83 +1.90% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.83

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc. (RMCF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $8.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.83 (+0.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RMCF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RMCF SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.04-12.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.91-3.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$0.88-5.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$0.83-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RMCF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RMCF currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.94) and Max Pain ($0.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RMCF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RMCF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RMCF Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.83: 12048.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.58

$6,988

$-3,012 (-30.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.75

$9,036

$-964 (-9.6%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.14

$37,831

+$27,831 (+278.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RMCF)

✓Walkthrough of RMCF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RMCF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.12%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $0.80H $0.91L $0.80C $0.83VOL 32.6K

RES: $0.92SUP: $0.83SMA50: $0.94SMA200: $1.67

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RMCF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RMCF Butterfly Map → + Track RMCF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RMCF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RMCF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RMCF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RMCF)

Consumer Staples Rank #124 of 146 ⚔️ BRID vs RMCF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (RMCF vs. BRID, WYHG, MAMA, JBSS)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc. (RMCF) ranks #124 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #130 by equity capitalization ($8.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JBSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with RMCF at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RMCF ACTIVE Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc.	D-	37/100	—	24.9%	-35.0%	+1.90%	$8.0M	Benchmark Subject
BRID Bridgford Foods Corporation	D-	36/100	—	19.3%	-13.3%	-1.11%	$48.6M	/brid-vs-rmcf →
WYHG Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited	D	51/100	13.3x	29.2%	4.6%	+5.36%	$105.0M	/wyhg-vs-rmcf →
MAMA Mama's Creations Inc.	C	63/100	114.4x	25.1%	17.2%	-1.38%	$604.9M	/mama-vs-rmcf →
JBSS John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.	C+	68/100	10.7x	18.0%	19.2%	-14.88%	$660.3M	/jbss-vs-rmcf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0001616262

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc. (RMCF) reported GAAP revenue of $27.5M (-7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $29.6M , and -1.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.6K, operating cash flow of -$1.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.4M (+77.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, RMCF closed FY2025 with $20.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.85, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-02-28	$27.5M	-$4.6K	-$1.8M	-$2.4M	$20.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-28	$29.6M	-$6.1K	-$6.6M	-$10.4M	$21.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-29	$28.0M	-$4.7K	-$2.4M	-$2.4M	—	—

3. RMCF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RMCF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc. (NASDAQ: RMCF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $0.83 (+1.90% 1D, market cap $8.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, RMCF ranks #124 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RMCF compare to BRID and WYHG in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), RMCF carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BRID (Bridgford Foods Corporation) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $48.6M) and WYHG (Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $105.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RMCF?

Per RMCF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0001616262), Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc. generated $27.5M in revenue (-7.0% YoY), -$4.6K in net income, and -$2.4M in free cash flow against $20.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RMCF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RMCF last traded at $0.83 (+1.90% on volume of 5,944 shares), positioning the stock -11.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.94) and -50.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.67). Across its 52-week range of $0.66 to $2.99, RMCF sits at the 7.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.93).

RMCF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RMCF's 12-month stock price target?

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc. (RMCF) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.75 (-9.6% from $0.83), with a bull-case target of $3.14 and a bear-case floor of $0.58.

Is RMCF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RMCF D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 37/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: RMCF RQD Cockpit RMCF 12M Forecast RMCF Earnings & Move RMCF Dividends & DRIP RMCF Insiders & 13F RMCF Whale Options RMCF Profit Sankey RMCF News & Why