RISK WATCHYahoo • 2d ago
NAVI's Restructuring Risks Trigger S&P Outlook Downgrade: What's Next?Navient's restructuring sparks S&P liquidity and funding concerns, prompting a negative outlook despite unchanged credit ratings.
Why RITM Stock advanced +1.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$9.40 +1.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $5.25B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RITM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RITM Stock advanced +1.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) advanced +1.40% to $9.40, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($8.31 – $12.15). Stretched risk/reward at 9x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($8.31 – $12.15) with RSI-14 at 58.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.9% around $9.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live RITM Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 2d ago
The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm HeldRithm Capital is rated buy, while Dynex Capital is a Hold, reflecting stronger dividend coverage and valuation for Rithm. Read more on DX and RITM stocks here.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 3d ago
Midtown Office Draws Capital as Rithm, DRA Close 1301 JVRithm and DRA Advisors closed a joint venture on a fully leased Midtown tower as Manhattan vacancy drops to 12.6%.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
RITM or SOFI: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?RITM vs. SOFI: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Buy Any Of 23 LoPrice/HiYield Dividend Dogs For OctoberDividend-paying stocks, especially 'LoPrice/HiYield Dividend Dogs,' are positioned for strong total returns as market sentiment shifts from growth to income.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 5d ago
Rithm Capital: The Market Sold It With The Mortgage REITs, Q3 Says That Was A MistakeRithm Capital remains a Buy as Q3 results validated its differentiated business model and book value resilience. Read more on RITM stock here.
CATALYSTBenzinga • 5d ago
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform on Rithm Capital, Raises Price Target to $13Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Bose George maintains Rithm Capital (NYSE:RITM) with a Outperform and raises the price target from $12.5 to $13.
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Does Rithm (RITM) Have the Potential to Rally 35.36% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?The average of price targets set by Wall Street analysts indicates a potential upside of 35.4% in Rithm (RITM). While the effectiveness of this highly sought-after metric is questionable, the positive trend in earnings e
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 5d ago
Rithm Capital Is Historically Cheap At 75 Cents On The DollarRithm Capital trades at a 25% discount to book value, despite robust fundamentals and a fully covered 10.65% dividend yield.
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 6d ago
Rithm Capital: MSR Rate Catalyst, Strong Earnings And Coverage, 11% YieldON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RITM)
- ✓Walkthrough of RITM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RITM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.49%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-01O $9.27H $9.40L $9.27C $9.40VOL 5.68M
RES: $10.87SUP: $8.23SMA50: $9.29SMA200: $9.70
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RITM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RITM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RITM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RITM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RITM)
Financials Rank #274 of 287
⚔️ KRG vs RITM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RITM vs. KRG, RYN, OUT, CUZ)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (63 Tracked Issuers)Across 287 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) ranks #274 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #251 by equity capitalization ($5.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RITM leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while CUZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CUZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with RITM at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RITM
ACTIVE
Rithm Capital Corp. | D- | 36/100 | 9.3x | — | 2.2% | +1.40% | $5.25B | Benchmark Subject |
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | C | 63/100 | 16.8x | — | 6.4% | +3.05% | $5.01B | /krg-vs-ritm → |
| RYN Rayonier Inc. | D | 48/100 | 12.0x | — | 3.0% | +2.08% | $5.70B | /ryn-vs-ritm → |
| OUT OUTFRONT Media Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 39.0x | — | 7.3% | +3.54% | $5.73B | /out-vs-ritm → |
| CUZ Cousins Properties Incorporated | C+ | 68/100 | 118.2x | — | 8.3% | +2.03% | $4.79B | /cuz-vs-ritm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001556593In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) reported GAAP revenue of $4.59B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.92B , and +24.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $567.2M, operating cash flow of -$1.29B, and free cash flow of -$1.50B (+37.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RITM closed FY2025 with $53.06B in total assets against $19.71B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.59B | $567.2M | -$1.29B | -$1.50B | $53.06B | $19.71B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.92B | $835.0M | -$2.19B | -$2.41B | $46.05B | $17.17B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.68B | $532.7M | $693.6M | $528.0M | $4.42B | $1.03B |
3. RITM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RITM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE: RITM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $9.40 (+1.40% 1D, market cap $5.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 287 tracked Financials issuers, RITM ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RITM compare to KRG and RYN in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RITM carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, KRG (Kite Realty Group Trust) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.01B) and RYN (Rayonier Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $5.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RITM leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while CUZ leads on capital efficiency (8.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RITM?
Per RITM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001556593), Rithm Capital Corp. generated $4.59B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $567.2M in net income, and -$1.50B in free cash flow against $53.06B in total assets and $19.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RITM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RITM last traded at $9.40 (+1.40% on volume of 5,680,885 shares), positioning the stock +1.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.29) and -3.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.70). Across its 52-week range of $8.31 to $12.15, RITM sits at the 28.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($8.85 to $9.95).
RITM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RITM stock moving today?
Why RITM Stock advanced +1.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 9x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.