Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.40 +1.40% NYSE β€’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh money.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.25B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510056
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk C+
Cash (7)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$13 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $9.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
56.530 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.45>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE28% OF RANGE
L: $8$9.40H: $12
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on RITM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

2.2% ROIC with 41.0% gross margin and -18.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

Put/Call 0.71x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RITM
  • βœ“Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring RITM)

  • βœ“Live walkthrough of RITM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
RITM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.81%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $9.42H $9.44L $9.27C $9.31VOL 6.33M
RES: $9.72SUP: $8.24SMA50: $9.31SMA200: $9.71
$11.25$10.46$9.66$8.86$8.06RES $9.72SUP $8.24$9.312026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RITM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RITM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RITM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RITM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’

RITM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RITM stock right now?

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell β€” SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 9x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RITM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RITM's 12-month base price target is $9.32 (range $7.27 to $12.76), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.