MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why RHLD Stock advanced +0.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$125.06 +0.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $125.43
Resolute Holdings Management (RHLD) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $977.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $125.44 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 41% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RHLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RHLD SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 41% FCF Margin ($189.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$118.17-3.8% Next Q
64
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$113.67+5.1% Next Q
67
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$119.52+4.6% Next Q
69
CurrentGrade B$125.06+7% Hist 90D α
72
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RHLD Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 72/100 (B) score, RHLD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($123.65) or 200D SMA ($141.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($132.94) toward Bear Floor ($102.55).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RHLD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RHLD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RHLD Stock advanced +0.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Resolute Holdings Management (RHLD) advanced +0.32% to $125.06, trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($96.79 – $236.19). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($96.79 – $236.19) with RSI-14 at 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.7% around $125.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $189.2M annual free cash flow.
Live RHLD Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RHLD Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RHLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.10%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $122.7H $125.1L $119.8C $125.1VOL 83.2K
RES: $135.5SUP: $108.0SMA50: $123.7SMA200: $141.7
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RHLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-4.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RHLD today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RHLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RHLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RHLD)
Financials Rank #98 of 1096
⚔️ PICS vs RHLD Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RHLD vs. PICS, OCSL, PSEC, CD)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Resolute Holdings Management (RHLD) ranks #98 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #564 by equity capitalization ($977.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OCSL leads on earnings valuation at 31.5x trailing P/E, while RHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. RHLD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RHLD
ACTIVE
Resolute Holdings Management | B | 72/100 | — | — | 85.0% | +0.32% | $977.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| PICS PicS N.V. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -0.51% | $1.02B | /pics-vs-rhld → |
| OCSL Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | 31.5x | — | 2.4% | +2.80% | $1.07B | /ocsl-vs-rhld → |
| PSEC Prospect Capital Corporation | D | 50/100 | — | — | -16.6% | +6.58% | $864.8M | /psec-vs-rhld → |
| CD Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -7.2% | -17.60% | $829.4M | /cd-vs-rhld → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002039497In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Resolute Holdings Management (RHLD) reported GAAP revenue of $462.1M (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.6M ) , GAAP net income of -$5.9M, operating cash flow of $196.1M, and free cash flow of $189.2M (+30.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, RHLD closed FY2025 with $332.7M in total assets against $169.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $462.1M | -$5.9M | $196.1M | $189.2M | $332.7M | $169.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $420.6M | -$2.3M | $152.1M | $144.7M | $201.8M | $184.4M |
3. RHLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RHLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Resolute Holdings Management (NYSE: RHLD) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $125.06 (+0.32% 1D, market cap $977.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RHLD ranks #98 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RHLD compare to PICS and OCSL in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), RHLD carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, PICS (PicS N.V. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.02B) and OCSL (Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OCSL leads on earnings multiple (31.5x) while RHLD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RHLD?
Per RHLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002039497), Resolute Holdings Management generated $462.1M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and $189.2M in free cash flow against $332.7M in total assets and $169.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RHLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RHLD last traded at $125.06 (+0.32% on volume of 63,636 shares), positioning the stock +1.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($123.65) and -11.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($141.70). Across its 52-week range of $96.79 to $236.19, RHLD sits at the 20.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($112.93 to $137.19).
RHLD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RHLD stock moving today?
Why RHLD Stock advanced +0.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support.