Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.54 -17.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $829.4M
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target
$15 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
46.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE45% OF RANGE
L: $2$7.54H: $14
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-7.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -0.29% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CD
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.60%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.19H $7.91L $6.01C $7.54VOL 380.4K
RES: $12.79SUP: $3.64SMA50: $5.68SMA200: $5.17
$13.35$10.30$7.25$4.20$1.15RES $12.79SUP $3.64$7.542026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CD)

Financials Rank #1081 of 1096 ⚔️ WRLD vs CD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CD vs. WRLD, PSEC, BUR, CGBD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) ranks #1081 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #594 by equity capitalization ($829.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CGBD leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while WRLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.8% ROIC and — gross margin. WRLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with CD at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CD ACTIVE
Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.
E 27/100 — — -7.2% -17.60% $829.4M Benchmark Subject
WRLD
World Acceptance Corporation
C+ 66/100 23.7x — 9.8% +1.02% $820.3M /wrld-vs-cd →
PSEC
Prospect Capital Corporation
D 50/100 — — -16.6% +6.58% $864.8M /psec-vs-cd →
BUR
Burford Capital Limited
D 46/100 12.2x — 9.7% +3.25% $763.7M /bur-vs-cd →
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.
D 50/100 10.6x — 6.0% +2.27% $743.8M /cgbd-vs-cd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001527762

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.9M (+277.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $494.0K , and +318.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.1M, operating cash flow of -$2.4M, and free cash flow of -$2.4M (+32.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CD closed FY2025 with $46.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.9M -$5.1M -$2.4M -$2.4M $46.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $494.0K -$4.5M -$3.6M -$3.6M $35.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $445.9K -$9.4M -$2.8M -$2.8M — —

3. CD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $7.54 (-17.60% 1D, market cap $829.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CD ranks #1081 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CD compare to WRLD and PSEC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CD carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, WRLD (World Acceptance Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $820.3M) and PSEC (Prospect Capital Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.6%, cap $864.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while WRLD leads on capital efficiency (9.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CD?

Per CD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001527762), Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. generated $1.9M in revenue (+277.9% YoY), -$5.1M in net income, and -$2.4M in free cash flow against $46.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CD last traded at $7.54 (-17.60% on volume of 620,571 shares), positioning the stock +32.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.68) and +45.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.17). Across its 52-week range of $2.10 to $14.10, CD sits at the 45.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.60 to $8.48).

CD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CD stock right now?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. (CD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 27/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CD's 12-month base price target is $6.49 (range $5.06 to $14.8), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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