MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why REX Stock advanced +0.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$38.86 +0.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.97
REX American Resources Corporation (REX) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (19% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $1.29B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.97 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY REX SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 35% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$42.09-0.9% Next Q
78
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$41.72-4.5% Next Q
75
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$39.83-2.4% Next Q
73
CurrentGrade B-$38.86+6.6% Hist 90D α
70
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the REX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, REX faces multiple-compression risk if 15.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.03) or 200D SMA ($42.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($40.96) toward Bear Floor ($31.87).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $REX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “REX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why REX Stock advanced +0.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
REX American Resources Corporation (REX) advanced +0.26% to $38.86, trading at 35% of its 52-week range ($31 – $53.36). High-quality cash engine (19% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 35% of its 52-week range ($31 – $53.36) with RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.5% around $38.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 19.3% gross margin and $49.4M annual free cash flow.
Live REX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (REX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
REX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.88%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $39.09H $39.76L $38.86C $38.86VOL 162.0K
RES: $45.94SUP: $38.09SMA50: $42.03SMA200: $42.51
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
REX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +1.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REX)
Materials Rank #16 of 270
⚔️ ECVT vs REX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (REX vs. ECVT, HUN, GPRE, FTK)
Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, REX American Resources Corporation (REX) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #123 by equity capitalization ($1.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REX leads on earnings valuation at 15.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. REX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REX
ACTIVE
REX American Resources Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 15.5x | 19.3% | 13.6% | +0.26% | $1.29B | Benchmark Subject |
| ECVT Ecovyst Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | 21.8% | 6.4% | +0.49% | $1.12B | /ecvt-vs-rex → |
| HUN Huntsman Corporation | D | 51/100 | — | 13.2% | -2.6% | -1.54% | $1.57B | /hun-vs-rex → |
| GPRE Green Plains Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | 72.5% | -5.6% | -0.73% | $954.7M | /gpre-vs-rex → |
| FTK Flotek Industries Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 30.5x | 25.2% | 17.1% | -1.53% | $930.1M | /ftk-vs-rex → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000744187In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), REX American Resources Corporation (REX) reported GAAP revenue of $650.5M (+1.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $642.5M , and -21.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $83.0M, operating cash flow of $117.8M, and free cash flow of $49.4M (+793.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, REX closed FY2025 with $797.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $650.5M | $83.0M | $117.8M | $49.4M | $797.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-01-31 | $642.5M | $58.2M | $64.2M | -$7.1M | $720.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-01-31 | $833.4M | $60.9M | $128.0M | $128.0M | — | — |
3. REX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs REX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, REX American Resources Corporation (NYSE: REX) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $38.86 (+0.26% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, REX ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.
How does REX compare to ECVT and HUN in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), REX carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.5x, gross margin of 19.3%, and ROIC of 13.6%. By comparison, ECVT (Ecovyst Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.4%, cap $1.12B) and HUN (Huntsman Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.6%, cap $1.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REX leads on earnings multiple (15.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REX?
Per REX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000744187), REX American Resources Corporation generated $650.5M in revenue (+1.2% YoY), $83.0M in net income, and $49.4M in free cash flow against $797.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is REX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
REX last traded at $38.86 (+0.26% on volume of 235,284 shares), positioning the stock -7.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($42.03) and -8.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.51). Across its 52-week range of $31.00 to $53.36, REX sits at the 35.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($35.95 to $41.77).
REX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is REX stock moving today?
Why REX Stock advanced +0.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (19% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.