Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / REAL / options

SVV (55) SPH (64) SBH (79) EZPW (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

The RealReal Inc. (REAL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$11.35 +2.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

The RealReal Inc. (REAL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.38B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REAL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.2%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (REAL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for REAL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring REAL)

✓Walkthrough of REAL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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REAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.54%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $11.24H $12.69L $11.24C $11.35VOL 10.26M

RES: $14.21SUP: $7.90SMA50: $10.00SMA200: $11.01

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REAL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 REAL Butterfly Map → + Track REAL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REAL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REAL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REAL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #728 of 1011 ⚔️ SVV vs REAL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (REAL vs. SVV, SPH, SBH, EZPW)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The RealReal Inc. (REAL) ranks #728 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #469 by equity capitalization ($1.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBH leads on earnings valuation at 8.7x trailing P/E, while SBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.9% ROIC and 51.6% gross margin. SBH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with REAL at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
REAL ACTIVE The RealReal Inc.	D	46/100	—	74.6%	-27.4%	+2.62%	$1.38B	Benchmark Subject
SVV Savers Value Village Inc.	D+	55/100	64.5x	—	9.3%	+5.70%	$1.46B	/svv-vs-real →
SPH Suburban Propane Partners L.P.	C	64/100	11.2x	60.6%	8.4%	+1.08%	$1.19B	/sph-vs-real →
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.)	B+	79/100	8.7x	51.6%	38.9%	+4.71%	$1.71B	/sbh-vs-real →
EZPW EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting	B	73/100	16.3x	58.5%	10.5%	-1.99%	$1.79B	/ezpw-vs-real →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001573221

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The RealReal Inc. (REAL) reported GAAP revenue of $692.8M (+15.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $600.5M , and +26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.80B, operating cash flow of $37.0M, and free cash flow of $18.4M (+45.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, REAL closed FY2025 with $409.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$692.8M	$41.80B	$37.0M	$18.4M	$409.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$600.5M	$134.20B	$26.8M	$12.6M	$423.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$549.3M	$168.47B	-$61.3M	-$61.3M	—	—

3. REAL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, The RealReal Inc. (NASDAQ: REAL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $11.35 (+2.62% 1D, market cap $1.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, REAL ranks #728 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REAL compare to SVV and SPH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), REAL carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.6%, and ROIC of -27.4%. By comparison, SVV (Savers Value Village Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 64.5x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $1.46B) and SPH (Suburban Propane Partners L.P.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBH leads on earnings multiple (8.7x) while SBH leads on capital efficiency (38.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REAL?

Per REAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001573221), The RealReal Inc. generated $692.8M in revenue (+15.4% YoY), $41.80B in net income, and $18.4M in free cash flow against $409.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REAL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REAL last traded at $11.35 (+2.62% on volume of 9,543,385 shares), positioning the stock +13.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.00) and +3.09% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.01). Across its 52-week range of $8.05 to $17.39, REAL sits at the 35.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($9.97 to $12.73).

REAL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is REAL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for REAL.

Direct Sub-Reports: REAL RQD Cockpit REAL 12M Forecast REAL Earnings & Move REAL Dividends & DRIP REAL Insiders & 13F REAL Whale Options REAL Profit Sankey REAL News & Why