RISK WATCHBenzinga • 5d ago
Shares of precious metals stocks are trading lower as markets react to President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs.Why REA Stock surged +5.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$8.94 +5.67% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.01
Rare Earths Americas Inc. (REA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $183.4M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is REA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Rare Earths Americas Inc. (NYSE: REA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $8.94 (+5.67% 1D, market cap $183.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, REA ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does REA compare to USAU and GMTL in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), REA carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, USAU (U.S. Gold Corp.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.5%, cap $188.4M) and GMTL (Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USAU leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REA?
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Per REA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002095743), Rare Earths Americas Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $48.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.01 (+0.83%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY REA SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$10.04-28.1% Next Q
65
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$7.22-2.4% Next Q
62
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$7.05+26.8% Next Q
60
CurrentGrade D+$8.94-0.2% Hist 90D α
57
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the REA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, REA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.44) or 200D SMA ($13.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.90) toward Bear Floor ($6.94).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $REA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “REA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why REA Stock surged +5.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Rare Earths Americas Inc. (REA) surged +5.67% to $8.94, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($6.2 – $30.02). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($6.2 – $30.02) with RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $5.1M annual free cash flow.
Live REA Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring REA)
- ✓Walkthrough of REA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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REA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.95%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $8.46H $8.94L $7.62C $8.94VOL 147.3K
RES: $9.26SUP: $5.65SMA50: $10.44SMA200: $13.85
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
REA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REA)
Materials Rank #91 of 270
⚔️ USAU vs REA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (REA vs. USAU, GMTL, NICM, LZM)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rare Earths Americas Inc. (REA) ranks #91 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #215 by equity capitalization ($183.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while USAU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with REA at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REA
ACTIVE
Rare Earths Americas Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | +5.67% | $183.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| USAU U.S. Gold Corp. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -28.5% | -0.78% | $188.4M | /usau-vs-rea → |
| GMTL Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +13.33% | $216.3M | /gmtl-vs-rea → |
| NICM Nicola Mining Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +12.42% | $107.6M | /nicm-vs-rea → |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Limited | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +1.40% | $326.4M | /lzm-vs-rea → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002095743In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rare Earths Americas Inc. (REA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, REA closed FY2025 with $48.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $48.8M | — |
3. REA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs REA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Rare Earths Americas Inc. (NYSE: REA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $8.94 (+5.67% 1D, market cap $183.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, REA ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.
How does REA compare to USAU and GMTL in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), REA carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, USAU (U.S. Gold Corp.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.5%, cap $188.4M) and GMTL (Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USAU leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REA?
Per REA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002095743), Rare Earths Americas Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $48.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is REA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
REA last traded at $8.94 (+5.67% on volume of 192,217 shares), positioning the stock -14.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.44) and -35.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.85). Across its 52-week range of $6.20 to $30.02, REA sits at the 11.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.82 to $10.06).
REA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is REA stock moving today?
Why REA Stock surged +5.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.