Why RDZN Stock dropped -2.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.12 -2.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.11

Roadzen Inc. (RDZN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $95.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.11 (-0.66%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.1% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE RDZN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDZN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RDZN SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$1.13-8.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$1.03+9.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$1.13-0.9% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$1.12-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RDZN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RDZN currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.23) and Max Pain ($1.18) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDZN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RDZN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why RDZN Stock dropped -2.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Roadzen Inc. (RDZN) dropped -2.61% to $1.12, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($0.98 – $2.56). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($0.98 – $2.56) with RSI-14 at 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live RDZN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
Cincinnati Financial (CINF) Q3 Earnings Top Estimates

Cincinnati Financial (CINF) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +43.72% and -0.12%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RDZN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RDZN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RDZN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.66%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $1.10H $1.15L $1.07C $1.12VOL 289.5K
RES: $1.13SUP: $0.96SMA50: $1.23SMA200: $1.39
$2.62$2.17$1.73$1.29$0.84RES $1.13SUP $0.96$1.122026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDZN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDZN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDZN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDZN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDZN)

Financials Rank #1096 of 1096 ⚔️ SLQT vs RDZN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RDZN vs. SLQT, XHG, HIT, HUIZ)

Industry: Specialty Insurers (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Roadzen Inc. (RDZN) ranks #1096 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #963 by equity capitalization ($95.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HIT leads on earnings valuation at 31.2x trailing P/E, while HIT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and — gross margin. HUIZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with RDZN at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RDZN ACTIVE
Roadzen Inc.
E 22/100 — — -35.0% -2.61% $95.4M Benchmark Subject
SLQT
SelectQuote Inc.
D- 42/100 — — 7.4% -0.47% $64.9M /slqt-vs-rdzn →
XHG
XChange TEC.INC
D- 40/100 — — — +2.06% $204.6M /xhg-vs-rdzn →
HIT
Health In Tech Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 31.2x — 7.5% -5.89% $39.9M /hit-vs-rdzn →
HUIZ
Huize Holding Limited
C+ 68/100 39.0x — 3.1% +6.19% $22.5M /huiz-vs-rdzn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001868640

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Roadzen Inc. (RDZN) reported GAAP revenue of $55.0M (+24.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $44.3M , and +17.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$22.5M, operating cash flow of -$20.3M, and free cash flow of -$20.3M (-11.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDZN closed FY2025 with $44.9M in total assets against $4.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $55.0M -$22.5M -$20.3M -$20.3M $44.9M $4.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $44.3M -$72.9M -$18.1M -$18.1M $32.0M $117.1K
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $46.7M -$99.7M -$19.2M -$19.2M — —

3. RDZN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDZN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Roadzen Inc. (NASDAQ: RDZN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.12 (-2.61% 1D, market cap $95.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RDZN ranks #1096 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RDZN compare to SLQT and XHG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), RDZN carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SLQT (SelectQuote Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.4%, cap $64.9M) and XHG (XChange TEC.INC) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $204.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HIT leads on earnings multiple (31.2x) while HIT leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDZN?

Per RDZN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001868640), Roadzen Inc. generated $55.0M in revenue (+24.2% YoY), -$22.5M in net income, and -$20.3M in free cash flow against $44.9M in total assets and $4.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RDZN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDZN last traded at $1.12 (-2.61% on volume of 269,129 shares), positioning the stock -8.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.23) and -19.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.39). Across its 52-week range of $0.98 to $2.56, RDZN sits at the 8.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.26).

RDZN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is RDZN stock moving today?

Why RDZN Stock dropped -2.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%