Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc. (RBKB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$12.85 +0.16% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.83

Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc. (RBKB) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $200.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.83 (-0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk B-
Cash (11)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$15 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RBKB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RBKB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±2.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RBKB SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 93% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 53.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$12.86-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$12.85+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$12.93-0.6% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$12.85+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (69) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RBKB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, RBKB faces multiple-compression risk if 20.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.85) or 200D SMA ($11.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.02) toward Bear Floor ($10.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RBKBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRBKB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±2.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RBKB)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RBKB.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

πŸ† Enter Free $100K Paper Arena β†’
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RBKB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RBKB
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RBKB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.83%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.87H $13.10L $12.85C $12.85VOL 168.4K
RES: $13.54SUP: $11.13SMA50: $12.85SMA200: $11.70
$13.56$12.38$11.20$10.02$8.84RES $13.54SUP $11.13$12.852026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RBKB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RBKB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RBKB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RBKB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RBKB)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RBKB vs. ECBK, HYNE, SRBK, FBLA)

Industry: Banks (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc. (RBKB) ranks #473 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #882 by equity capitalization ($200.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RBKB leads on earnings valuation at 20.0x trailing P/E, while RBKB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ECBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with RBKB at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RBKB ACTIVE
Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc.
C- 61/100 20.0x β€” 7.3% +0.16% $200.9M Benchmark Subject
ECBK
ECB Bancorp Inc.
C+ 68/100 24.0x β€” 4.5% +1.23% $186.4M /ecbk-vs-rbkb β†’
HYNE
Hoyne Bancorp Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” β€” 0.1% +1.44% $153.7M /hyne-vs-rbkb β†’
SRBK
SR Bancorp Inc.
D+ 57/100 29.3x β€” 2.7% +0.64% $150.5M /srbk-vs-rbkb β†’
FBLA
FB Bancorp Inc.
D 44/100 β€” β€” 0.4% -1.56% $271.0M /fbla-vs-rbkb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001751783

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc. (RBKB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $10.0M, operating cash flow of $11.7M, and free cash flow of $10.9M (+41.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RBKB closed FY2025 with $1.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $10.0M $11.7M $10.9M $1.30B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$8.6M $8.5M $7.7M $1.26B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $4.4M $7.0M $7.0M β€” β€”

3. RBKB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RBKB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: RBKB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $12.85 (+0.16% 1D, market cap $200.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RBKB ranks #473 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RBKB compare to ECBK and HYNE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Banks), RBKB carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.0x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.3%. By comparison, ECBK (ECB Bancorp Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 24.0x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $186.4M) and HYNE (Hoyne Bancorp Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $153.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RBKB leads on earnings multiple (20.0x) while RBKB leads on capital efficiency (7.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RBKB?

Per RBKB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001751783), Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $10.0M in net income, and $10.9M in free cash flow against $1.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RBKB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RBKB last traded at $12.85 (+0.16% on volume of 30,878 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.85) and +9.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.70). Across its 52-week range of $6.74 to $13.29, RBKB sits at the 93.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±2.9% ($12.48 to $13.22).

RBKB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is RBKB's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for RBKB.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%