Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, Rand Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: RAND) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $9.59 (+5.21% 1D, market cap $28.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RAND ranks #863 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), RAND carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.4%. By comparison, GRAN (Grande Group Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $28.4M) and FLD (Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAND leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JFU leads on capital efficiency (0.3% ROIC).
Per RAND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000081955), Rand Capital Corporation generated $0 in revenue, -$8.0M in net income, and $11.3M in free cash flow against $53.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While RAND currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.18) and Max Pain ($10.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.36.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) surged +5.21% to $9.59, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($9.11 – $17.49). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
BUFFALO, N.Y., October 21, 2026--Rand Capital Corporation (Nasdaq: RAND) ("Rand" or the "Company"), a business development company providing alternative financing for lower middle market companies, announced that it plan
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAND today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) ranks #863 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #1039 by equity capitalization ($28.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAND leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while JFU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.3% ROIC and — gross margin. RAND currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAND
ACTIVE
Rand Capital Corporation | D | 50/100 | — | — | -15.4% | +5.21% | $28.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| GRAN Grande Group Limited (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | — | — | -2.56% | $28.4M | /gran-vs-rand → |
| FLD Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.13% | $29.0M | /fld-vs-rand → |
| JFU 9F Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | 0.3% | -0.76% | $30.6M | /jfu-vs-rand → |
| TAOX Tao Synergies Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.63% | $25.7M | /taox-vs-rand → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$8.0M, operating cash flow of $11.3M, and free cash flow of $11.3M (-26.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAND closed FY2025 with $53.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$8.0M | $11.3M | $11.3M | $53.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $8.8M | $15.3M | $15.3M | $72.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $6.5M | -$8.3M | -$8.3M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Rand Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: RAND) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $9.59 (+5.21% 1D, market cap $28.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RAND ranks #863 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), RAND carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.4%. By comparison, GRAN (Grande Group Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $28.4M) and FLD (Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAND leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JFU leads on capital efficiency (0.3% ROIC).
Per RAND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000081955), Rand Capital Corporation generated $0 in revenue, -$8.0M in net income, and $11.3M in free cash flow against $53.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
RAND last traded at $9.59 (+5.21% on volume of 684 shares), positioning the stock -5.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.18) and -10.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.66). Across its 52-week range of $9.11 to $17.49, RAND sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($9.42 to $9.76).
Why RAND Stock surged +5.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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