MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
HSN Gets Some Helping Hands for HolidayThe multiplatform retailer has Christie Brinkley, Michelle Buteau, Dr. Paul Nassif and Curtis Stone engaging shoppers with new products and gift ideas.
Why QVCG Stock dropped -2.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.58 -2.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.54
QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $379.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.54 (-0.58%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 5.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QVCG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY QVCG SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 16.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($419.0M FCF) & 33.6% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$12.87-27.9% Next Q
44
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$9.28-12.4% Next Q
41
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$8.13-6.8% Next Q
39
CurrentGrade D-$7.58-8.3% Hist 90D α
36
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QVCG Turnaround Squeeze
While QVCG currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.45) and Max Pain ($7.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.00.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QVCG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “QVCG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why QVCG Stock dropped -2.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) dropped -2.19% to $7.58, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($6.8 – $20). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($6.8 – $20) with RSI-14 at 16.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.58 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 33.6% gross margin and $419.0M annual free cash flow.
Live QVCG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
Digital Brands Group Signs Herschel Supply Co. As Partner For AI-Powered Brand ProtectionMARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
QVC Unwraps Holiday Magic with Danielle Fishel as Its Mrs. ClausQVC® is celebrating the start of the holiday season with Danielle Fishel as its official "Mrs. Claus" for 2026. In its second year, the tradition celebrates the women who make the holidays memorable and brings Mrs. Claus
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QVCG)
- ✓Walkthrough of QVCG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
QVCG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.11%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.41H $7.58L $6.80C $7.58VOL 208.5K
RES: $11.06SUP: $6.27SMA50: $13.45SMA200: $13.83
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
QVCG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QVCG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QVCG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QVCG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QVCG)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #888 of 1011
⚔️ SFIX vs QVCG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (QVCG vs. SFIX, DDL, HNST, TDUP)
Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) ranks #888 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #624 by equity capitalization ($379.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDL leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while DDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.3% ROIC and — gross margin. DDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with QVCG at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QVCG
ACTIVE
QVC Group Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 33.6% | -35.0% | -2.19% | $379.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| SFIX Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A) | E | 28/100 | — | 44.4% | -33.9% | +2.99% | $368.7M | /sfix-vs-qvcg → |
| DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) | C+ | 66/100 | 13.8x | — | 65.3% | -0.51% | $455.9M | /ddl-vs-qvcg → |
| HNST The Honest Company Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | 33.3% | -18.2% | +0.44% | $492.4M | /hnst-vs-qvcg → |
| TDUP ThredUp Inc. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | 79.4% | -35.0% | +0.91% | $291.6M | /tdup-vs-qvcg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001254699In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) reported GAAP revenue of $8.29B (-7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.00B , and -12.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.17B, operating cash flow of $419.0M, and free cash flow of $419.0M (-21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, QVCG closed FY2025 with $8.46B in total assets against $1.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.29B | -$2.17B | $419.0M | $419.0M | $8.46B | $1.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $9.00B | -$1.07B | $535.0M | $535.0M | $9.89B | $3.31B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $9.45B | $159.0M | $1.09B | $1.09B | — | — |
3. QVCG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs QVCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, QVC Group Inc. (NASDAQ: QVCG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $7.58 (-2.19% 1D, market cap $379.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QVCG ranks #888 in composite RQD confidence.
How does QVCG compare to SFIX and DDL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), QVCG carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SFIX (Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.9%, cap $368.7M) and DDL (Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three )) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 65.3%, cap $455.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QVCG?
Per QVCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001254699), QVC Group Inc. generated $8.29B in revenue (-7.8% YoY), -$2.17B in net income, and $419.0M in free cash flow against $8.46B in total assets and $1.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is QVCG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
QVCG last traded at $7.58 (-2.19% on volume of 137,519 shares), positioning the stock -43.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.45) and -45.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.83). Across its 52-week range of $6.80 to $20.00, QVCG sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 16.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.63 to $8.53).
QVCG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is QVCG stock moving today?
Why QVCG Stock dropped -2.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.