Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / QUAD / options

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Quad Graphics Inc (Class A) (QUAD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.70 -18.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.43

Quad Graphics Inc (Class A) (QUAD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $396.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on QUAD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is QUAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Quad Graphics Inc (Class A) (NYSE: QUAD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $7.70 (-18.08% 1D, market cap $396.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QUAD ranks #668 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QUAD compare to ACCO and PMTS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), QUAD carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of 21.6%, and ROIC of 19.7%. By comparison, ACCO (Acco Brands Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $402.5M) and PMTS (CPI Card Group Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 17.5%, cap $304.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while QUAD leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QUAD?

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Per QUAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001481792), Quad Graphics Inc (Class A) generated $2.42B in revenue (-9.4% YoY), $27.0M in net income, and $50.7M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $322.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.44 (-3.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QUAD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY QUAD SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (38% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.1% FCF Margin ($50.7M FCF) & 21.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (32.3) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$9.43-1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$9.27+1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$9.36-17.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$7.70-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QUAD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While QUAD currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.55) and Max Pain ($8.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.71.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QUAD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “QUAD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±9.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (QUAD)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for QUAD.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QUAD)

✓Walkthrough of QUAD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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QUAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.27%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-02O $9.40H $9.40L $7.70C $7.70VOL 1.26M

RES: $9.80SUP: $8.52SMA50: $9.55SMA200: $8.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QUAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 QUAD Butterfly Map → + Track QUAD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

6.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QUAD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QUAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QUAD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QUAD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #668 of 1011 ⚔️ ACCO vs QUAD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (QUAD vs. ACCO, PMTS, DLX, WBTN)

Industry: Publishing (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Quad Graphics Inc (Class A) (QUAD) ranks #668 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #617 by equity capitalization ($396.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCO leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while QUAD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.7% ROIC and 21.6% gross margin. PMTS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with QUAD at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
QUAD ACTIVE Quad Graphics Inc (Class A)	D	45/100	14.7x	21.6%	19.7%	-18.08%	$396.3M	Benchmark Subject
ACCO Acco Brands Corporation	D+	56/100	9.7x	32.8%	5.0%	-0.46%	$402.5M	/acco-vs-quad →
PMTS CPI Card Group Inc.	B	73/100	20.3x	31.3%	17.5%	+2.14%	$304.1M	/pmts-vs-quad →
DLX Deluxe Corporation	C	63/100	12.8x	53.0%	—	0.00%	$1.05B	/dlx-vs-quad →
WBTN WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.	D-	37/100	—	23.3%	-8.5%	+0.11%	$1.29B	/wbtn-vs-quad →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001481792

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Quad Graphics Inc (Class A) (QUAD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.42B (-9.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.67B , and -18.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $27.0M, operating cash flow of $95.9M, and free cash flow of $50.7M (-9.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, QUAD closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $322.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.62, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.42B	$27.0M	$95.9M	$50.7M	$1.25B	$322.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.67B	-$50.9M	$112.9M	$55.7M	$1.30B	$349.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.96B	-$55.4M	$147.6M	$147.6M	—	—

3. QUAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QUAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does QUAD compare to ACCO and PMTS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QUAD?

Where is QUAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QUAD last traded at $7.70 (-18.08% on volume of 1,257,604 shares), positioning the stock -19.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.55) and -4.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.09). Across its 52-week range of $5.12 to $11.15, QUAD sits at the 42.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($6.98 to $8.42).

QUAD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is QUAD's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for QUAD.

Direct Sub-Reports: QUAD RQD Cockpit QUAD 12M Forecast QUAD Earnings & Move QUAD Dividends & DRIP QUAD Insiders & 13F QUAD Whale Options QUAD Profit Sankey QUAD News & Why