Qfin Holdings Inc. (QFIN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$5.27 -4.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.22

Qfin Holdings Inc. (QFIN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $641.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on QFIN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is QFIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Qfin Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: QFIN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $5.27 (-4.01% 1D, market cap $641.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, QFIN ranks #326 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QFIN compare to TRON and VEL in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), QFIN carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 27.2%. By comparison, TRON (Tron Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $645.2M) and VEL (Velocity Financial Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $629.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VEL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while GAIN leads on capital efficiency (31.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QFIN?
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Per QFIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001741530), Qfin Holdings Inc. generated $2.75B in revenue (+16.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $1.58B in free cash flow against $8.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.22 (-0.91%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 57.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B
Cash (18)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$25 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE QFIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QFIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY QFIN SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 57.7% FCF Margin ($1.58B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$6.20-8.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$5.67-7.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$5.26+0.2% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$5.27+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the QFIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, QFIN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.33) or 200D SMA ($12.46) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.44) toward Bear Floor ($4.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QFIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “QFIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (11% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $28,394

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $511/yr
$11.1K
Yr 1
$12.3K
Yr 2
$13.7K
Yr 3
$15.2K
Yr 4
$16.9K
Yr 5
$18.7K
Yr 6
$20.8K
Yr 7
$23.0K
Yr 8
$25.6K
Yr 9
$28.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in QFIN & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on QFIN and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
QFIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.71%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $5.18H $5.36L $5.10C $5.27VOL 1.72M
RES: $9.39SUP: $4.00SMA50: $7.33SMA200: $12.46
$23.19$18.29$13.39$8.48$3.58RES $9.39SUP $4.00$5.272026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QFIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QFIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QFIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QFIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QFIN)

Financials Rank #326 of 1096 ⚔️ TRON vs QFIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (QFIN vs. TRON, VEL, FINV, GAIN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Qfin Holdings Inc. (QFIN) ranks #326 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #652 by equity capitalization ($641.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VEL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while GAIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.0% ROIC and — gross margin. QFIN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
QFIN ACTIVE
Qfin Holdings Inc.
C 65/100 — — 27.2% -4.01% $641.6M Benchmark Subject
TRON
Tron Inc.
E 26/100 — — -0.9% -11.40% $645.2M /tron-vs-qfin →
VEL
Velocity Financial Inc.
C- 59/100 6.0x — 15.6% +2.44% $629.7M /vel-vs-qfin →
FINV
FinVolution Group
C- 60/100 — — 15.4% +0.71% $672.9M /finv-vs-qfin →
GAIN
Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company
D 49/100 — — 31.0% +1.26% $608.1M /gain-vs-qfin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001741530

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Qfin Holdings Inc. (QFIN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.75B (+16.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.35B , and +19.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $1.58B, and free cash flow of $1.58B (+23.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, QFIN closed FY2025 with $8.14B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.75B $0 $1.58B $1.58B $8.14B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.35B $0 $1.28B $1.28B $6.59B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.29B $0 $1.00B $1.00B — —

3. QFIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QFIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Qfin Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: QFIN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $5.27 (-4.01% 1D, market cap $641.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, QFIN ranks #326 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QFIN compare to TRON and VEL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), QFIN carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 27.2%. By comparison, TRON (Tron Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $645.2M) and VEL (Velocity Financial Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $629.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VEL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while GAIN leads on capital efficiency (31.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QFIN?

Per QFIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001741530), Qfin Holdings Inc. generated $2.75B in revenue (+16.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $1.58B in free cash flow against $8.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QFIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QFIN last traded at $5.27 (-4.01% on volume of 2,840,496 shares), positioning the stock -28.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.33) and -57.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.46). Across its 52-week range of $5.10 to $24.05, QFIN sits at the 0.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($4.74 to $5.80).

QFIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does QFIN pay a dividend and is it safe?

Qfin Holdings Inc. (QFIN) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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