MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why PWP Stock surged +8.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$14.00 +8.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.18
Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.36B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.18 (+1.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PWP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PWP SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B+$15.67-15.4% Next Q
75
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B$13.26-6.6% Next Q
72
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$12.38+13.1% Next Q
70
CurrentGrade C+$14.00+1.6% Hist 90D α
67
Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PWP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, PWP faces multiple-compression risk if 28.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.77) or 200D SMA ($17.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.57) toward Bear Floor ($11.36).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PWP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PWP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PWP Stock surged +8.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) surged +8.19% to $14.00, trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($12.13 – $25.93). Solid steady margins (56% return on capital), mixed timing at 28x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($12.13 – $25.93) with RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $14.00 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $30.5M annual free cash flow.
Live PWP Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PWP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PWP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.43%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $14.00H $14.88L $13.65C $14.00VOL 2.30M
RES: $15.72SUP: $11.54SMA50: $14.77SMA200: $17.43
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PWP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -14.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PWP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PWP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PWP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PWP)
Financials Rank #249 of 1096
⚔️ SECZ vs PWP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PWP vs. SECZ, KEEL, ATLC, WD)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) ranks #249 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #508 by equity capitalization ($1.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATLC leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while PWP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ATLC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with PWP at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PWP
ACTIVE
Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) | C+ | 67/100 | 28.4x | — | 55.7% | +8.19% | $1.36B | Benchmark Subject |
| SECZ Securitize Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +1.20% | $1.38B | /secz-vs-pwp → |
| KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -10.4% | -4.94% | $1.43B | /keel-vs-pwp → |
| ATLC Atlanticus Holdings Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 12.3x | — | 19.8% | +7.10% | $1.49B | /atlc-vs-pwp → |
| WD Walker & Dunlop Inc | D+ | 53/100 | 21.2x | — | 3.2% | +1.40% | $1.19B | /wd-vs-pwp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001777835In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (PWP) reported GAAP revenue of $750.9M (-14.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $878.0M , and +15.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $48.0M, operating cash flow of $34.8M, and free cash flow of $30.5M (-85.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PWP closed FY2025 with $797.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $750.9M | $48.0M | $34.8M | $30.5M | $797.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $878.0M | -$89.0M | $223.4M | $207.0M | $876.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $648.7M | -$112.0M | $145.9M | $145.9M | — | — |
3. PWP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PWP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) (NASDAQ: PWP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $14.00 (+8.19% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PWP ranks #249 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PWP compare to SECZ and KEEL in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), PWP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 55.7%. By comparison, SECZ (Securitize Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.38B) and KEEL (Keel Infrastructure Corp.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $1.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PWP leads on capital efficiency (55.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PWP?
Per PWP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001777835), Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) generated $750.9M in revenue (-14.5% YoY), $48.0M in net income, and $30.5M in free cash flow against $797.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PWP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PWP last traded at $14.00 (+8.19% on volume of 4,059,162 shares), positioning the stock -5.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.77) and -19.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.43). Across its 52-week range of $12.13 to $25.93, PWP sits at the 13.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($12.25 to $15.75).
PWP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PWP stock moving today?
Why PWP Stock surged +8.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (56% return on capital), mixed timing at 28x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.