Stock Ratings / Technology / PUBM / earnings

RXT (53) BMBL (37) EVER (79) SMWB (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.9% Move

$17.01 +0.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.98

PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $774.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PUBM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PUBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PUBM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $17.01 (+0.18% 1D, market cap $774.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PUBM ranks #335 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PUBM compare to RXT and BMBL in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), PUBM carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 63.6%, and ROIC of -11.6%. By comparison, RXT (Rackspace Technology Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.7%, cap $762.1M) and BMBL (Bumble Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $789.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EVER leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while EVER leads on capital efficiency (69.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUBM?

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Per PUBM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001422930), PubMatic Inc. (Class A) generated $282.9M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), -$14.0M in net income, and $66.7M in free cash flow against $680.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.98 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 23.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PUBM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PUBM SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$18.64-10.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$16.64+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$17.24-1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$17.01-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PUBM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, PUBM faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.38) or 200D SMA ($12.11) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.78) toward Bear Floor ($13.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PUBM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PUBM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.9% Swing Band

±$1.51 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PUBM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.9%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$282.9M	-$14.0M	$66.7M	63.6%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$291.3M	$13.0M	$55.8M	65.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$267.0M	$9.0M	$81.1M	63.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PUBM)

✓Walkthrough of PUBM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PUBM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +73.93%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $16.77H $17.01L $15.85C $17.01VOL 460.7K

RES: $20.01SUP: $15.91SMA50: $17.38SMA200: $12.11

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PUBM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PUBM Butterfly Map → + Track PUBM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PUBM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PUBM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PUBM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PUBM)

Technology Rank #335 of 714 ⚔️ RXT vs PUBM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PUBM vs. RXT, BMBL, EVER, SMWB)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) ranks #335 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #378 by equity capitalization ($774.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EVER leads on earnings valuation at 8.1x trailing P/E, while EVER leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.1% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. EVER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with PUBM at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PUBM ACTIVE PubMatic Inc. (Class A)	D+	55/100	—	63.6%	-11.6%	+0.18%	$774.8M	Benchmark Subject
RXT Rackspace Technology Inc.	D+	53/100	—	18.9%	-5.7%	+3.46%	$762.1M	/rxt-vs-pubm →
BMBL Bumble Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	70.8%	-35.0%	+0.34%	$789.2M	/bmbl-vs-pubm →
EVER EverQuote Inc. (Class A)	B+	79/100	8.1x	96.0%	69.1%	+6.15%	$803.5M	/ever-vs-pubm →
SMWB Similarweb Ltd.	D	45/100	—	79.5%	-35.0%	-1.32%	$804.9M	/smwb-vs-pubm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001422930

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM) reported GAAP revenue of $282.9M (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $291.3M , and +6.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.0M, operating cash flow of $81.1M, and free cash flow of $66.7M (+19.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PUBM closed FY2025 with $680.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.98, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$282.9M	-$14.0M	$81.1M	$66.7M	$680.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$291.3M	$13.0M	$73.4M	$55.8M	$739.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$267.0M	$9.0M	$81.1M	$81.1M	—	—

3. PUBM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PUBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PUBM compare to RXT and BMBL in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUBM?

Where is PUBM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PUBM last traded at $17.01 (+0.18% on volume of 342,682 shares), positioning the stock -2.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.38) and +40.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.11). Across its 52-week range of $6.15 to $19.48, PUBM sits at the 81.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($15.50 to $18.52).

PUBM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PUBM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, PubMatic Inc. (Class A) (PUBM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PUBM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.9% event move for PUBM, spanning a range between $15.5 and $18.52.

Direct Sub-Reports: PUBM RQD Cockpit PUBM 12M Forecast PUBM Earnings & Move PUBM Dividends & DRIP PUBM Insiders & 13F PUBM Whale Options PUBM Profit Sankey PUBM News & Why