Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PTON / earnings

CALY (63) YETI (85) MAT (67) GOLF (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.2% Move

$5.28 +0.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.27

Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.35B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PTON Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PTON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PTON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $5.28 (+0.19% 1D, market cap $2.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTON ranks #635 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PTON compare to CALY and YETI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), PTON carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.9%, and ROIC of -24.3%. By comparison, CALY (Callaway Golf Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $2.71B) and YETI (YETI Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (85/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 23.5%, cap $3.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAT leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while YETI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTON?

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Per PTON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001639825), Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) generated $2.49B in revenue (-7.8% YoY), -$118.9M in net income, and $333.0M in free cash flow against $2.16B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.27 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 13.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PTON SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 38% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$5.12+2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$5.22+2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$5.37-1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$5.28-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PTON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PTON currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.12) and Max Pain ($5.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTON• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PTON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.2% Swing Band

±$0.43 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PTON Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -7.8%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$2.49B	-$118.9M	$333.0M	50.9%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$2.70B	-$551.9M	-$66.1M	44.7%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$2.80B	-$1.26B	-$387.6M	50.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PTON)

✓Walkthrough of PTON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PTON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.12%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $5.29H $5.29L $5.08C $5.28VOL 5.45M

RES: $7.04SUP: $4.45SMA50: $5.12SMA200: $5.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PTON Butterfly Map → + Track PTON →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTON)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #635 of 1011 ⚔️ CALY vs PTON Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTON vs. CALY, YETI, MAT, GOLF)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) ranks #635 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #397 by equity capitalization ($2.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MAT leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while YETI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and 57.4% gross margin. YETI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 85/100 (A-) compared with PTON at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PTON ACTIVE Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	50.9%	-24.3%	+0.19%	$2.35B	Benchmark Subject
CALY Callaway Golf Company	C	63/100	—	42.1%	5.6%	+3.90%	$2.71B	/caly-vs-pton →
YETI YETI Holdings Inc.	A-	85/100	19.5x	57.4%	23.5%	+2.98%	$3.23B	/yeti-vs-pton →
MAT Mattel Inc.	C+	67/100	11.1x	48.7%	13.0%	+1.31%	$4.42B	/mat-vs-pton →
GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp.	B-	70/100	26.5x	47.7%	13.8%	+2.73%	$5.00B	/golf-vs-pton →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001639825

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) reported GAAP revenue of $2.49B (-7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.70B , and -11.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$118.9M, operating cash flow of $333.0M, and free cash flow of $333.0M (+603.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTON closed FY2025 with $2.16B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$2.49B	-$118.9M	$333.0M	$333.0M	$2.16B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$2.70B	-$551.9M	-$66.1M	-$66.1M	$2.11B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$2.80B	-$1.26B	-$387.6M	-$387.6M	—	—

3. PTON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PTON compare to CALY and YETI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTON?

Where is PTON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTON last traded at $5.28 (+0.19% on volume of 5,121,993 shares), positioning the stock +3.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.12) and +1.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.22). Across its 52-week range of $3.65 to $7.92, PTON sits at the 38.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($4.85 to $5.71).

PTON Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PTON's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is PTON stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.2% event move for PTON, spanning a range between $4.85 and $5.71.

Direct Sub-Reports: PTON RQD Cockpit PTON 12M Forecast PTON Earnings & Move PTON Dividends & DRIP PTON Insiders & 13F PTON Whale Options PTON Profit Sankey PTON News & Why