Stock Ratings / Technology / PRGS / options

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Progress Software Corporation (PRGS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$44.93 +1.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.93

Progress Software Corporation (PRGS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.84B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PRGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PRGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Progress Software Corporation (NASDAQ: PRGS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $44.93 (+1.06% 1D, market cap $1.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PRGS ranks #160 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PRGS compare to CNXC and NYAX in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PRGS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.1x, gross margin of 80.8%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, CNXC (Concentrix Corporation) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $1.85B) and NYAX (Nayax Ltd.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRGS leads on earnings multiple (25.1x) while PRGS leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PRGS?

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Per PRGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000876167), Progress Software Corporation generated $977.8M in revenue (+29.8% YoY), $73.1M in net income, and $229.5M in free cash flow against $2.46B in total assets and $1.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (81% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.93 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 23.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PRGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PRGS SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.5% FCF Margin ($229.5M FCF) & 80.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$39.33+3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$40.84+13.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$46.45-3.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$44.93+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PRGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, PRGS faces multiple-compression risk if 25.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 78.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.82) or 200D SMA ($36.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.55) toward Bear Floor ($36.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PRGS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PRGS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.1%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PRGS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PRGS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PRGS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PRGS
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PRGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +61.33%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $45.12H $45.26L $44.45C $44.93VOL 301.9K

RES: $46.94SUP: $38.31SMA50: $41.82SMA200: $36.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PRGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PRGS Butterfly Map → + Track PRGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

18.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PRGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PRGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PRGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PRGS)

Technology Rank #160 of 714 ⚔️ CNXC vs PRGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PRGS vs. CNXC, NYAX, MQ, PDFS)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Progress Software Corporation (PRGS) ranks #160 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #305 by equity capitalization ($1.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRGS leads on earnings valuation at 25.1x trailing P/E, while PRGS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 80.8% gross margin. PRGS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PRGS ACTIVE Progress Software Corporation	C+	66/100	25.1x	80.8%	8.5%	+1.06%	$1.84B	Benchmark Subject
CNXC Concentrix Corporation	D-	39/100	—	35.0%	-10.4%	-0.62%	$1.85B	/cnxc-vs-prgs →
NYAX Nayax Ltd.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.02%	$1.88B	/nyax-vs-prgs →
MQ Marqeta Inc. (Class A)	D	45/100	—	70.0%	-35.0%	-0.44%	$1.88B	/mq-vs-prgs →
PDFS PDF Solutions Inc.	D-	43/100	—	72.3%	1.6%	+0.15%	$1.92B	/pdfs-vs-prgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0000876167

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Progress Software Corporation (PRGS) reported GAAP revenue of $977.8M (+29.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $753.4M , and +40.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $73.1M, operating cash flow of $235.2M, and free cash flow of $229.5M (+11.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PRGS closed FY2025 with $2.46B in total assets against $1.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-11-30	$977.8M	$73.1M	$235.2M	$229.5M	$2.46B	$1.04B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-11-30	$753.4M	$68.4M	$211.5M	$206.3M	$2.53B	$1.53B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-11-30	$694.4M	$70.2M	$173.9M	$173.9M	—	—

3. PRGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PRGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PRGS compare to CNXC and NYAX in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PRGS?

Where is PRGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PRGS last traded at $44.93 (+1.06% on volume of 347,221 shares), positioning the stock +7.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.82) and +22.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.70). Across its 52-week range of $23.82 to $47.25, PRGS sits at the 90.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($41.29 to $48.57).