MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why PPHC Stock advanced +0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$10.22 +0.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.20
Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $305.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.20 (-0.17%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 13.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PPHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PPHC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 39% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.9% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$11.13-7.9% Next Q
60
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$10.25-4.7% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$9.77+4.6% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$10.22-1.1% Hist 90D α
52
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PPHC Turnaround Squeeze
While PPHC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.89) and Max Pain ($10.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.91.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PPHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PPHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PPHC Stock advanced +0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) advanced +0.10% to $10.22, trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($7.01 – $15.15). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($7.01 – $15.15) with RSI-14 at 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.9% around $10.22 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 10% gross margin and $24.8M annual free cash flow.
Live PPHC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PPHC)
- ✓Walkthrough of PPHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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PPHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.10%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $10.25H $10.52L $9.84C $10.22VOL 111.6K
RES: $14.54SUP: $9.50SMA50: $10.89SMA200: $11.31
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PPHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +24.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PPHC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PPHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PPHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PPHC)
Industrials Rank #277 of 485
⚔️ TMS vs PPHC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PPHC vs. TMS, BTQ, SUPX, QNC)
Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) ranks #277 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #323 by equity capitalization ($305.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PPHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.1% ROIC and — gross margin. QNC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with PPHC at 52/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPHC
ACTIVE
Public Policy Holding Company Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | 10.0% | -29.0% | +0.10% | $305.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| TMS Teamshares Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -6.1% | -9.09% | $302.0M | /tms-vs-pphc → |
| BTQ BTQ Technologies Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -4.00% | $317.7M | /btq-vs-pphc → |
| SUPX SuperX AI Technology Limited | E | 34/100 | — | 5.0% | — | -2.37% | $266.6M | /supx-vs-pphc → |
| QNC Quantum eMotion Corp. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.91% | $243.6M | /qnc-vs-pphc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001903508In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) reported GAAP revenue of $186.5M (+24.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $149.6M ) , GAAP net income of -$39.0M, operating cash flow of $24.8M, and free cash flow of $24.8M (+51.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PPHC closed FY2025 with $202.6M in total assets against $37.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.71, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $186.5M | -$39.0M | $24.8M | $24.8M | $202.6M | $37.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $149.6M | -$24.0M | $16.4M | $16.3M | $174.5M | $26.0M |
3. PPHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (NASDAQ: PPHC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $10.22 (+0.10% 1D, market cap $305.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PPHC ranks #277 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PPHC compare to TMS and BTQ in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), PPHC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.0%, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, TMS (Teamshares Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $302.0M) and BTQ (BTQ Technologies Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $317.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMS leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PPHC?
Per PPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001903508), Public Policy Holding Company Inc. generated $186.5M in revenue (+24.7% YoY), -$39.0M in net income, and $24.8M in free cash flow against $202.6M in total assets and $37.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PPHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PPHC last traded at $10.22 (+0.10% on volume of 117,840 shares), positioning the stock -6.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.89) and -9.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.31). Across its 52-week range of $7.01 to $15.15, PPHC sits at the 39.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($9.00 to $11.44).
PPHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PPHC stock moving today?
Why PPHC Stock advanced +0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.