Stock Ratings / Industrials / PPHC / forecast

TMS (31) BTQ (50) SUPX (34) QNC (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.22 +0.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.20

Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $305.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.20 (-0.17%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 13.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PPHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PPHC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 39% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$11.13-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$10.25-4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$9.77+4.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$10.22-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PPHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PPHC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.89) and Max Pain ($10.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PPHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PPHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PPHC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.22: 978.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.75

$7,583

$-2,417 (-24.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.94

$9,726

$-274 (-2.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.91

$15,568

+$5,568 (+55.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$10	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$15	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$9	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PPHC)

✓Walkthrough of PPHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PPHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.10%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $10.25H $10.52L $9.84C $10.22VOL 111.6K

RES: $14.54SUP: $9.50SMA50: $10.89SMA200: $11.31

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PPHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PPHC Butterfly Map → + Track PPHC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PPHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PPHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PPHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PPHC)

Industrials Rank #277 of 485 ⚔️ TMS vs PPHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PPHC vs. TMS, BTQ, SUPX, QNC)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) ranks #277 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #323 by equity capitalization ($305.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PPHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.1% ROIC and — gross margin. QNC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with PPHC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PPHC ACTIVE Public Policy Holding Company Inc.	D+	52/100	—	10.0%	-29.0%	+0.10%	$305.5M	Benchmark Subject
TMS Teamshares Inc.	E	31/100	—	—	-6.1%	-9.09%	$302.0M	/tms-vs-pphc →
BTQ BTQ Technologies Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-4.00%	$317.7M	/btq-vs-pphc →
SUPX SuperX AI Technology Limited	E	34/100	—	5.0%	—	-2.37%	$266.6M	/supx-vs-pphc →
QNC Quantum eMotion Corp.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+0.91%	$243.6M	/qnc-vs-pphc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001903508

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) reported GAAP revenue of $186.5M (+24.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $149.6M ) , GAAP net income of -$39.0M, operating cash flow of $24.8M, and free cash flow of $24.8M (+51.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PPHC closed FY2025 with $202.6M in total assets against $37.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.71, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$186.5M	-$39.0M	$24.8M	$24.8M	$202.6M	$37.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$149.6M	-$24.0M	$16.4M	$16.3M	$174.5M	$26.0M

3. PPHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (NASDAQ: PPHC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $10.22 (+0.10% 1D, market cap $305.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PPHC ranks #277 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PPHC compare to TMS and BTQ in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), PPHC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.0%, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, TMS (Teamshares Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $302.0M) and BTQ (BTQ Technologies Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $317.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMS leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PPHC?

Per PPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001903508), Public Policy Holding Company Inc. generated $186.5M in revenue (+24.7% YoY), -$39.0M in net income, and $24.8M in free cash flow against $202.6M in total assets and $37.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PPHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PPHC last traded at $10.22 (+0.10% on volume of 117,840 shares), positioning the stock -6.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.89) and -9.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.31). Across its 52-week range of $7.01 to $15.15, PPHC sits at the 39.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($9.00 to $11.44).

PPHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PPHC's 12-month stock price target?

Public Policy Holding Company Inc. (PPHC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $9.94 (-2.7% from $10.22), with a bull-case target of $15.91 and a bear-case floor of $7.75.

Is PPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates PPHC D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 52/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: PPHC RQD Cockpit PPHC 12M Forecast PPHC Earnings & Move PPHC Dividends & DRIP PPHC Insiders & 13F PPHC Whale Options PPHC Profit Sankey PPHC News & Why