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Why PODC Stock surged +5.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PodcastOne Inc. (PODC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 31% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PODC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, PODC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.28) or 200D SMA ($2.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.56) toward Bear Floor ($2.00).
Why PODC Stock surged +5.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PodcastOne Inc. (PODC) surged +5.71% to $2.59, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($1.41 – $5.2). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($1.41 – $5.2) with RSI-14 at 58.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.59 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.4M annual free cash flow.
The market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Haley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PODC)
- ✓Walkthrough of PODC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
PODC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PODC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PODC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PODC)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PODC vs. DOYU, SOGP, HCAT, MF)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PodcastOne Inc. (PODC) ranks #339 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #533 by equity capitalization ($78.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PODC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SOGP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. SOGP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with PODC at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PODC
ACTIVE
PodcastOne Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | -16.9% | +5.71% | $78.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| DOYU DouYu International Holdings Limited ADS | D- | 36/100 | — | 12.8% | 1.6% | -0.55% | $110.2M | /doyu-vs-podc → |
| SOGP Sound Group Inc. | C | 63/100 | — | 29.2% | 85.0% | -1.39% | $46.8M | /sogp-vs-podc → |
| HCAT Health Catalyst Inc | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.56% | $134.7M | /hcat-vs-podc → |
| MF MindForge Inc. (Class A) | D- | 41/100 | — | 0.8% | -6.6% | +11.99% | $41.6M | /mf-vs-podc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001940177In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), PodcastOne Inc. (PODC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$2.6M, operating cash flow of $2.5M, and free cash flow of $2.4M (+763.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, PODC closed FY2025 with $24.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-03-31 | $0 | -$2.6M | $2.5M | $2.4M | $24.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-03-31 | $0 | -$6.5M | -$212.0K | -$366.0K | $20.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-03-31 | $0 | -$14.7M | $2.2M | $2.2M | — | — |
3. PODC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PODC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, PodcastOne Inc. (NASDAQ: PODC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $2.59 (+5.71% 1D, market cap $78.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PODC ranks #339 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PODC compare to DOYU and SOGP in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), PODC carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -16.9%. By comparison, DOYU (DouYu International Holdings Limited ADS) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $110.2M) and SOGP (Sound Group Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $46.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PODC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SOGP leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PODC?
Per PODC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001940177), PodcastOne Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$2.6M in net income, and $2.4M in free cash flow against $24.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PODC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PODC last traded at $2.59 (+5.71% on volume of 347,134 shares), positioning the stock +13.60% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.28) and -13.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.99). Across its 52-week range of $1.41 to $5.20, PODC sits at the 31.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.27 to $2.91).
PODC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PODC stock moving today?
Why PODC Stock surged +5.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.