Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PK / earnings

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Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.2% Move

$16.82 +1.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.82

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $3.39B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.82 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PK SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4% FCF Margin ($102.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$15.17+4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$15.91+2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$16.35+2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$16.82-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PK currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.63) and Max Pain ($17.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.15.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.2% Swing Band

±$1.04 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.2%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.54B	-$283.0M	$102.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.60B	$212.0M	$202.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.70B	$97.0M	$503.0M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PK)

✓Walkthrough of PK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +46.64%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $16.79H $16.95L $16.37C $16.82VOL 4.28M

RES: $17.29SUP: $15.05SMA50: $15.63SMA200: $13.23

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PK Butterfly Map → + Track PK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #836 of 1011 ⚔️ OSW vs PK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PK vs. OSW, PLNT, HGV, TNL)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) ranks #836 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #341 by equity capitalization ($3.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLNT leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while TNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.7% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. OSW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with PK at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PK ACTIVE Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	-0.9%	+1.02%	$3.39B	Benchmark Subject
OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited	B	75/100	42.7x	—	10.6%	+7.23%	$3.06B	/osw-vs-pk →
PLNT Planet Fitness Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	82.6%	19.1%	+2.07%	$4.04B	/plnt-vs-pk →
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.	D+	56/100	34.3x	—	6.3%	+0.51%	$2.78B	/hgv-vs-pk →
TNL Travel Leisure Co.	C+	69/100	18.7x	93.2%	21.7%	+4.55%	$4.31B	/tnl-vs-pk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001617406

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) reported GAAP revenue of $2.54B (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.60B , and -5.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$283.0M, operating cash flow of $398.0M, and free cash flow of $102.0M (-49.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PK closed FY2025 with $7.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.59, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.54B	-$283.0M	$398.0M	$102.0M	$7.70B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.60B	$212.0M	$429.0M	$202.0M	$9.16B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.70B	$97.0M	$503.0M	$503.0M	—	—

3. PK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (NYSE: PK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $16.82 (+1.02% 1D, market cap $3.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PK ranks #836 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PK compare to OSW and PLNT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), PK carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.9%. By comparison, OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $3.06B) and PLNT (Planet Fitness Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $4.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLNT leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while TNL leads on capital efficiency (21.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PK?

Per PK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001617406), Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. generated $2.54B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$283.0M in net income, and $102.0M in free cash flow against $7.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PK last traded at $16.82 (+1.02% on volume of 3,375,100 shares), positioning the stock +7.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.63) and +27.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.23). Across its 52-week range of $9.84 to $17.14, PK sits at the 95.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($15.78 to $17.86).