Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PHOE / options

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Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$16.50 +5.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.64

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $356.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.64 (+0.85%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PHOE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PHOE SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$17.51+1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$17.72-15.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$15.00+10% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$16.50-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PHOE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PHOE currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.83) and Max Pain ($17.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $139.78.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PHOE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PHOE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PHOE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PHOE.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PHOE)

✓Walkthrough of PHOE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PHOE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.11%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $14.27H $16.73L $14.27C $16.50VOL 1.4K

RES: $20.60SUP: $14.05SMA50: $18.83SMA200: $18.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PHOE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PHOE Butterfly Map → + Track PHOE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PHOE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PHOE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PHOE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PHOE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #807 of 1011 ⚔️ MTRX vs PHOE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PHOE vs. MTRX, BBCP, PMA, LMB)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) ranks #807 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #632 by equity capitalization ($356.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while LMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.2% ROIC and 26.2% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with PHOE at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PHOE ACTIVE Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited	D-	41/100	—	4.6%	—	+5.77%	$356.4M	Benchmark Subject
MTRX Matrix Service Company	D-	42/100	—	5.2%	-35.0%	-0.40%	$279.2M	/mtrx-vs-phoe →
BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.	D+	53/100	80.5x	42.4%	5.2%	+2.31%	$513.0M	/bbcp-vs-phoe →
PMA PMA Graphene Technology Group Inc. (Class A)	D+	55/100	—	-18.4%	—	+10.00%	$215.1M	/pma-vs-phoe →
LMB Limbach Holdings Inc.	A-	83/100	15.7x	26.2%	21.2%	+1.48%	$613.8M	/lmb-vs-phoe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0002035709

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) reported GAAP revenue of $7.2M (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.4M , and +25.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.2M, operating cash flow of -$5.7M, and free cash flow of -$5.7M (-602.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PHOE closed FY2025 with $8.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$7.2M	-$1.2M	-$5.7M	-$5.7M	$8.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$7.4M	$1.0M	$1.2M	$1.1M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$5.8M	$1.1M	$540.3K	$540.3K	—	—

3. PHOE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PHOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: PHOE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $16.50 (+5.77% 1D, market cap $356.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PHOE ranks #807 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PHOE compare to MTRX and BBCP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), PHOE carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MTRX (Matrix Service Company) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $279.2M) and BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 80.5x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $513.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while LMB leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHOE?

Per PHOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0002035709), Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited generated $7.2M in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$1.2M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $8.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PHOE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PHOE last traded at $16.50 (+5.77% on volume of 452 shares), positioning the stock -12.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.83) and -10.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.45). Across its 52-week range of $9.76 to $133.12, PHOE sits at the 5.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($15.01 to $17.99).