Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AMRC

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Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.00 +3.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.09

Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.11B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.09 (+0.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMRC SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$21.33-8.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$19.50-5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$18.53+13.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$21.00+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMRC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AMRC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.52) or 200D SMA ($26.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.09) toward Bear Floor ($16.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

48.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE12% OF RANGE

L: $18$21.00H: $41

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AMRC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AMRC

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AMRC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.03%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $19.97H $21.00L $19.69C $21.00VOL 504.1K

RES: $25.06SUP: $18.08SMA50: $21.52SMA200: $26.51

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMRC Butterfly Map → + Track AMRC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMRC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #420 of 1011 ⚔️ LMB vs AMRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AMRC vs. LMB, BBCP, PHOE, MTRX)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) ranks #420 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #500 by equity capitalization ($1.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while LMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.2% ROIC and 26.2% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with AMRC at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMRC ACTIVE Ameresco Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+3.40%	$1.11B	Benchmark Subject
LMB Limbach Holdings Inc.	A-	83/100	15.7x	26.2%	21.2%	+1.48%	$613.8M	/lmb-vs-amrc →
BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.	D+	53/100	80.5x	42.4%	5.2%	+2.31%	$513.0M	/bbcp-vs-amrc →
PHOE Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited	D-	41/100	—	4.6%	—	+5.77%	$356.4M	/phoe-vs-amrc →
MTRX Matrix Service Company	D-	42/100	—	5.2%	-35.0%	-0.40%	$279.2M	/mtrx-vs-amrc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001488139

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.77B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AMRC closed FY2025 with $4.54B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$4.54B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.77B	$56.8M	$117.6M	$113.3M	$4.16B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.37B	$62.5M	-$70.0M	-$70.0M	—	—

3. AMRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: AMRC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $21.00 (+3.40% 1D, market cap $1.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMRC ranks #420 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMRC compare to LMB and BBCP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), AMRC carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LMB (Limbach Holdings Inc.) holds a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 15.7x, ROIC 21.2%, cap $613.8M) and BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 80.5x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $513.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while LMB leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMRC?

Per AMRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001488139), Ameresco Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.54B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMRC last traded at $21.00 (+3.40% on volume of 382,389 shares), positioning the stock -2.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.52) and -20.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.51). Across its 52-week range of $18.27 to $40.73, AMRC sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($18.52 to $23.48).

AMRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AMRC stock right now?

Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is AMRC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AMRC's 12-month base price target is $21.09 (range $16.45 to $42.77), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMRC RQD Cockpit AMRC 12M Forecast AMRC Earnings & Move AMRC Dividends & DRIP AMRC Insiders & 13F AMRC Whale Options AMRC Profit Sankey AMRC News & Why