Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AMRC / earnings

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Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.8% Move

$21.00 +3.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.09

Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.11B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.09 (+0.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMRC SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$21.33-8.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$19.50-5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$18.53+13.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$21.00+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMRC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AMRC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.52) or 200D SMA ($26.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.09) toward Bear Floor ($16.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.8% Swing Band

±$2.48 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AMRC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$0	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.77B	$56.8M	$113.3M	14.5%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.37B	$62.5M	-$70.0M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AMRC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AMRC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.03%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $19.97H $21.00L $19.69C $21.00VOL 504.1K

RES: $25.06SUP: $18.08SMA50: $21.52SMA200: $26.51

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMRC Butterfly Map → + Track AMRC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMRC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #420 of 1011 ⚔️ LMB vs AMRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AMRC vs. LMB, BBCP, PHOE, MTRX)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) ranks #420 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #500 by equity capitalization ($1.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while LMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.2% ROIC and 26.2% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with AMRC at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMRC ACTIVE Ameresco Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+3.40%	$1.11B	Benchmark Subject
LMB Limbach Holdings Inc.	A-	83/100	15.7x	26.2%	21.2%	+1.48%	$613.8M	/lmb-vs-amrc →
BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.	D+	53/100	80.5x	42.4%	5.2%	+2.31%	$513.0M	/bbcp-vs-amrc →
PHOE Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited	D-	41/100	—	4.6%	—	+5.77%	$356.4M	/phoe-vs-amrc →
MTRX Matrix Service Company	D-	42/100	—	5.2%	-35.0%	-0.40%	$279.2M	/mtrx-vs-amrc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001488139

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.77B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AMRC closed FY2025 with $4.54B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$4.54B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.77B	$56.8M	$117.6M	$113.3M	$4.16B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.37B	$62.5M	-$70.0M	-$70.0M	—	—

3. AMRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: AMRC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $21.00 (+3.40% 1D, market cap $1.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMRC ranks #420 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMRC compare to LMB and BBCP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), AMRC carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LMB (Limbach Holdings Inc.) holds a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 15.7x, ROIC 21.2%, cap $613.8M) and BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 80.5x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $513.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while LMB leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMRC?

Per AMRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001488139), Ameresco Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.54B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMRC last traded at $21.00 (+3.40% on volume of 382,389 shares), positioning the stock -2.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.52) and -20.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.51). Across its 52-week range of $18.27 to $40.73, AMRC sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($18.52 to $23.48).

AMRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AMRC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ameresco Inc. (Class A) (AMRC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AMRC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.8% event move for AMRC, spanning a range between $18.52 and $23.48.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMRC RQD Cockpit AMRC 12M Forecast AMRC Earnings & Move AMRC Dividends & DRIP AMRC Insiders & 13F AMRC Whale Options AMRC Profit Sankey AMRC News & Why