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Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (PECO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$39.58 -0.25% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.49

Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (PECO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PECO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PECO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (NASDAQ: PECO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $39.58 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PECO ranks #504 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PECO compare to KRG and SBRA in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PECO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, KRG (Kite Realty Group Trust) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.10B) and SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.2x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $5.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RITM leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while CUZ leads on capital efficiency (8.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PECO?
▼

Per PECO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001476204), Phillips Edison & Company Inc. generated $12.8M in revenue (+18.8% YoY), $111.3M in net income, and $348.1M in free cash flow against $5.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.49 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2730.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$47 Bull$39 Base$31 Bear
📬 FREE PECO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PECO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PECO SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.1) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$37.58-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$37.27+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$37.72+4.9% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$39.58-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PECO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, PECO faces multiple-compression risk if 44.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.10) or 200D SMA ($39.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.22) toward Bear Floor ($30.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PECO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PECO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PECO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $39.58: 252.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $30.59
$7,729
$-2,271 (-22.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $39.22
$9,909
$-91 (-0.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $46.60
$11,774
+$1,774 (+17.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$4469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$3558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PECO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PECO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PECO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.93%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-04O $38.83H $39.68L $38.83C $39.58VOL 1.13M
RES: $36.54SUP: $35.80SMA50: $38.10SMA200: $39.25
$44.97$42.52$40.08$37.63$35.18RES $36.54SUP $35.80$39.582026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PECO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PECO Butterfly Map → + Track PECO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
33.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PECO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PECO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PECO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PECO)

Financials Rank #504 of 1097 ⚔️ KRG vs PECO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PECO vs. KRG, SBRA, RITM, CUZ)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (PECO) ranks #504 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #272 by equity capitalization ($5.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RITM leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while CUZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CUZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with PECO at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PECO ACTIVE
Phillips Edison & Company Inc.
D+ 56/100 44.9x — 4.9% -0.25% $5.12B Benchmark Subject
KRG
Kite Realty Group Trust
C 63/100 16.8x — 6.4% -1.24% $5.10B /krg-vs-peco →
SBRA
Sabra Health Care REIT Inc.
C- 59/100 32.2x — 5.5% +3.20% $5.04B /sbra-vs-peco →
RITM
Rithm Capital Corp.
D- 36/100 9.3x — 2.2% -2.43% $5.28B /ritm-vs-peco →
CUZ
Cousins Properties Incorporated
C+ 69/100 118.2x — 8.3% -1.88% $4.91B /cuz-vs-peco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001476204 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (PECO) reported GAAP revenue of $12.8M (+18.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.7M , and +32.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $111.3M, operating cash flow of $348.1M, and free cash flow of $348.1M (+4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, PECO closed FY2025 with $5.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.8M $111.3M $348.1M $348.1M $5.29B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.7M $62.7M $334.7M $334.7M $5.05B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.6M $56.8M $291.0M $291.0M — —

3. PECO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PECO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (NASDAQ: PECO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $39.58 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PECO ranks #504 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PECO compare to KRG and SBRA in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PECO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, KRG (Kite Realty Group Trust) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.10B) and SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.2x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $5.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RITM leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while CUZ leads on capital efficiency (8.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PECO?

Per PECO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001476204), Phillips Edison & Company Inc. generated $12.8M in revenue (+18.8% YoY), $111.3M in net income, and $348.1M in free cash flow against $5.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PECO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PECO last traded at $39.58 (-0.25% on volume of 1,015,657 shares), positioning the stock +3.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($38.10) and +0.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.25). Across its 52-week range of $33.75 to $44.38, PECO sits at the 54.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($38.04 to $41.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: PECO RQD Cockpit PECO 12M Forecast PECO Earnings & Move PECO Dividends & DRIP PECO Insiders & 13F PECO Whale Options PECO Profit Sankey PECO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PECO — Phillips Edison & Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (PECO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $39.58 (-0.25% 1D, market capitalization $5.12B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 6.97%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Phillips Edison & Company Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under Financials, Real Estate Investment Trusts. Reported revenue for FY 2025 was $12.3M. — for further business description.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (PECO) reported $12.8M in annual revenue (up from $10.7M in FY2024, +18.8% YoY) and $111.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.6M revenue, $56.8M net income) through FY2025, PECO scaled operating cash flow to $348.1M and free cash flow to $348.1M, backed by $5.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 56/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 6.97% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $33.75 – $44.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 44.9x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), PECO carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can PECO sustain or expand its — operating margin and 4.9% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $12.8M and free cash flow of $348.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PECO's 37.7x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PECO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Phillips Edison & Company Inc. (PECO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PECO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PECO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.58?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PECO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PECO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $50.87 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 3.15% dividend yield and positive FCF figures ($348.1M in FY 2025) provide a cash-return anchor that the RQD rating's Fundamental C

Don't sleep on PECO's setup in Financials. The 3.15% dividend yield and positive FCF figures ($348.1M in FY 2025) provide a cash-return anchor that the RQD rating's Fundamental Cash Engine pillar partially reflects.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (56/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 56/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $38.83 and keeping dry powder in case we test $36.11.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.68 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $38.83

A trailing P/E of 44.9 against ROIC of 4.9% leaves the valuation elevated relative to the return the business is generating.

Fading this rally in PECO at $38.83. A trailing P/E of 44.9 against ROIC of 4.9% leaves the valuation elevated relative to the return the business is generating.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $38.83 (52-wk range $33.10–$44.38), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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