Stock Ratings / Financials / OXLC / forecast

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Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: What is OXLC's 12-month stock price target?

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $6.15 (-6.8% from $6.60), with a bull-case target of $16.66 and a bear-case floor of $4.8.

Q: Is OXLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates OXLC D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 43/100.

$6.60 +0.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.59

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.15B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OXLC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OXLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: OXLC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $6.60 (+0.30% 1D, market cap $1.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OXLC ranks #877 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OXLC compare to ETW and RPC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), OXLC carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ETW (Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.05B) and RPC (Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 52.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSBD leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while RPC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXLC?

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For Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #877 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.59 (-0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OXLC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OXLC SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.8% FCF Margin ($32.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$8.60-12.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$7.54-12.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$6.63-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$6.60-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OXLC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OXLC currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.61) and Max Pain ($6.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OXLC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OXLC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OXLC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $6.60: 1515.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.80

$7,273

$-2,727 (-27.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $6.15

$9,318

$-682 (-6.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $16.66

$25,242

+$15,242 (+152.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$6	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$16	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$5	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OXLC)

✓Walkthrough of OXLC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OXLC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.91%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-02O $6.58H $6.60L $6.58C $6.60VOL 1.44M

RES: $9.57SUP: $6.65SMA50: $8.61SMA200: $9.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OXLC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OXLC Butterfly Map → + Track OXLC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OXLC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OXLC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OXLC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OXLC)

Financials Rank #877 of 1096 ⚔️ ETW vs OXLC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OXLC vs. ETW, RPC, GSBD, FMN)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) ranks #877 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #527 by equity capitalization ($1.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSBD leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while RPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. RPC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with OXLC at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OXLC ACTIVE Oxford Lane Capital Corp.	D-	43/100	—	—	—	+0.30%	$1.15B	Benchmark Subject
ETW Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of	D	50/100	—	—	—	+0.74%	$1.05B	/etw-vs-oxlc →
RPC Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)	D+	58/100	52.5x	—	13.8%	+6.42%	$1.02B	/rpc-vs-oxlc →
GSBD Goldman Sachs BDC Inc.	D+	52/100	8.6x	—	8.4%	+2.26%	$1.02B	/gsbd-vs-oxlc →
FMN Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund	D	46/100	—	—	—	+0.58%	$903.1M	/fmn-vs-oxlc →

2. OXLC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) operates in Investment Managers (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $1.15B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OXLC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OXLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OXLC compare to ETW and RPC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXLC?

Where is OXLC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OXLC last traded at $6.60 (+0.30% on volume of 1,443,270 shares), positioning the stock -23.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.61) and -30.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.45). Across its 52-week range of $6.29 to $15.87, OXLC sits at the 3.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($6.12 to $7.08).

OXLC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OXLC's 12-month stock price target?

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $6.15 (-6.8% from $6.60), with a bull-case target of $16.66 and a bear-case floor of $4.8.

Is OXLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates OXLC D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 43/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: OXLC RQD Cockpit OXLC 12M Forecast OXLC Earnings & Move OXLC Dividends & DRIP OXLC Insiders & 13F OXLC Whale Options OXLC Profit Sankey OXLC News & Why