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Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.06 +2.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.08

Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.02B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.08 (+0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GSBD SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.1% FCF Margin ($325.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$8.77-0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$8.73-1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$8.62+5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$9.06+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GSBD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, GSBD faces multiple-compression risk if 8.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.36) or 200D SMA ($9.27) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.26) toward Bear Floor ($7.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSBD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GSBD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

49.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE35% OF RANGE

L: $8$9.06H: $10

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GSBD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

8.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GSBD

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GSBD Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GSBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.83%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $9.03H $9.06L $8.86C $9.06VOL 809.9K

RES: $10.46SUP: $8.46SMA50: $9.36SMA200: $9.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GSBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GSBD Butterfly Map → + Track GSBD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-4.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSBD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSBD)

Financials Rank #390 of 1096 ⚔️ RPC vs GSBD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GSBD vs. RPC, ETW, OXLC, FMN)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) ranks #390 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #551 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSBD leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while RPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. GSBD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GSBD ACTIVE Goldman Sachs BDC Inc.	C	63/100	8.6x	—	8.4%	+2.26%	$1.02B	Benchmark Subject
RPC Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	52.5x	—	13.8%	+6.42%	$1.02B	/rpc-vs-gsbd →
ETW Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.74%	$1.05B	/etw-vs-gsbd →
OXLC Oxford Lane Capital Corp.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+0.30%	$1.15B	/oxlc-vs-gsbd →
FMN Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+0.58%	$903.1M	/fmn-vs-gsbd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001572694

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $119.3M, operating cash flow of $325.7M, and free cash flow of $325.7M (+13155.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GSBD closed FY2025 with $3.38B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$119.3M	$325.7M	$325.7M	$3.38B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$62.9M	$2.5M	$2.5M	$3.60B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$195.9M	$300.7M	$300.7M	—	—

3. GSBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GSBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (NYSE: GSBD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $9.06 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GSBD ranks #390 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GSBD compare to RPC and ETW in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), GSBD carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.4%. By comparison, RPC (Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 52.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.02B) and ETW (Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSBD leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while RPC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSBD?

Per GSBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572694), Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $119.3M in net income, and $325.7M in free cash flow against $3.38B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GSBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GSBD last traded at $9.06 (+2.26% on volume of 896,426 shares), positioning the stock -3.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.36) and -2.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.27). Across its 52-week range of $8.36 to $10.38, GSBD sits at the 34.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($8.59 to $9.53).

GSBD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GSBD stock right now?

Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 9x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is GSBD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GSBD's 12-month base price target is $9.26 (range $7.22 to $10.93), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: GSBD RQD Cockpit GSBD 12M Forecast GSBD Earnings & Move GSBD Dividends & DRIP GSBD Insiders & 13F GSBD Whale Options GSBD Profit Sankey GSBD News & Why