MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why OXBR Stock dropped -4.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.73 -4.82% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.72
Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited (OXBR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $5.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.72 (-1.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OXBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OXBR SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (34% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.02-2% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$1.00-5% Next Q
37
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$0.95-23.2% Next Q
35
CurrentGrade E$0.73-9.2% Hist 90D α
32
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OXBR Turnaround Squeeze
While OXBR currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.19) and Max Pain ($0.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.95.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OXBR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OXBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why OXBR Stock dropped -4.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited (OXBR) dropped -4.82% to $0.73, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($0.65 – $1.86). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($0.65 – $1.86) with RSI-14 at 33.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.73 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live OXBR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OXBR)
- ✓Walkthrough of OXBR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OXBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.43%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.75H $0.78L $0.73C $0.73VOL 53.4K
RES: $1.39SUP: $0.62SMA50: $1.19SMA200: $1.11
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
OXBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OXBR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OXBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OXBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OXBR)
Financials Rank #1063 of 1096
⚔️ FGC vs OXBR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OXBR vs. FGC, PRHI, KG, JRVR)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited (OXBR) ranks #1063 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #1078 by equity capitalization ($5.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JRVR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while KG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 36.4% ROIC and — gross margin. KG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with OXBR at 32/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OXBR
ACTIVE
Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited | E | 32/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.82% | $5.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| FGC FG Communities Holdings Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -10.53% | $23.4M | /fgc-vs-oxbr → |
| PRHI Presurance Holdings Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.98% | $27.2M | /prhi-vs-oxbr → |
| KG Kestrel Group Ltd. | D | 47/100 | — | — | 36.4% | -1.19% | $32.5M | /kg-vs-oxbr → |
| JRVR James River Group Holdings Inc. | D | 46/100 | 3.8x | — | 8.8% | +1.82% | $181.3M | /jrvr-vs-oxbr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001584831In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited (OXBR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.6M (+372.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $546.0K , and +136.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.1M, operating cash flow of -$1.3M, and free cash flow of -$1.4M (-380.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OXBR closed FY2025 with $8.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.6M | -$2.1M | -$1.3M | -$1.4M | $8.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $546.0K | -$2.8M | -$284.0K | -$284.0K | $7.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | -$7.0M | -$9.9M | -$1.3M | -$1.3M | — | — |
3. OXBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OXBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: OXBR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.73 (-4.82% 1D, market cap $5.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OXBR ranks #1063 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OXBR compare to FGC and PRHI in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), OXBR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FGC (FG Communities Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $23.4M) and PRHI (Presurance Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $27.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JRVR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while KG leads on capital efficiency (36.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OXBR?
Per OXBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001584831), Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited generated $2.6M in revenue (+372.0% YoY), -$2.1M in net income, and -$1.4M in free cash flow against $8.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OXBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OXBR last traded at $0.73 (-4.82% on volume of 4,677 shares), positioning the stock -38.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.19) and -34.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.11). Across its 52-week range of $0.65 to $1.86, OXBR sits at the 6.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.82).
OXBR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OXBR stock moving today?
Why OXBR Stock dropped -4.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.