Oatly Group AB (OTLY) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.00 -6.54% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Oatly Group AB (OTLY) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $255.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$17 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE OTLY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OTLY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OTLY Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.00: 1250.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.99
$7,488
$-2,513 (-25.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.68
$9,600
$-400 (-4.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $17.01
$21,263
+$11,263 (+112.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OTLY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OTLY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OTLY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.40%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $8.00H $8.00L $7.38C $8.00VOL 264.5K
RES: $13.12SUP: $9.27SMA50: $12.19SMA200: $11.31
$16.82$14.26$11.70$9.14$6.59RES $13.12SUP $9.27$8.002026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OTLY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OTLY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OTLY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OTLY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OTLY)

Consumer Staples Rank #94 of 146 ⚔️ AFRI vs OTLY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (OTLY vs. AFRI, LWAY, BGS, VITL)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oatly Group AB (OTLY) ranks #94 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #96 by equity capitalization ($255.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VITL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while VITL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.1% ROIC and 37.6% gross margin. LWAY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with OTLY at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OTLY ACTIVE
Oatly Group AB
D 49/100 — — — -6.54% $255.3M Benchmark Subject
AFRI
Forafric Global PLC
E 21/100 — 10.4% -16.5% -0.08% $340.6M /afri-vs-otly →
LWAY
Lifeway Foods Inc.
C- 59/100 25.3x 27.4% 15.9% +1.84% $350.8M /lway-vs-otly →
BGS
B&G Foods Inc.
D 45/100 — 21.8% 3.3% +9.71% $183.7M /bgs-vs-otly →
VITL
Vital Farms Inc.
D 48/100 6.0x 37.6% 23.1% +0.43% $398.8M /vitl-vs-otly →

2. OTLY Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Oatly Group AB (OTLY) operates in Packaged Foods (Consumer Staples) with an equity capitalization of $255.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OTLY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OTLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Oatly Group AB (NASDAQ: OTLY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $8.00 (-6.54% 1D, market cap $255.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, OTLY ranks #94 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OTLY compare to AFRI and LWAY in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), OTLY carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AFRI (Forafric Global PLC) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.5%, cap $340.6M) and LWAY (Lifeway Foods Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 25.3x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $350.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VITL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while VITL leads on capital efficiency (23.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OTLY?

For Oatly Group AB (OTLY), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #94 in Consumer Staples, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OTLY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OTLY last traded at $8.00 (-6.54% on volume of 474,426 shares), positioning the stock -34.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.19) and -29.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.31). Across its 52-week range of $7.38 to $16.20, OTLY sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.00 to $9.00).

OTLY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OTLY's 12-month stock price target?

Oatly Group AB (OTLY) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.68 (-4% from $8.00), with a bull-case target of $17.01 and a bear-case floor of $5.99.

Is OTLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates OTLY D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 49/100.

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