OS Therapies Incorporated (OSTX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.24 -4.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23

OS Therapies Incorporated (OSTX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $67.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OSTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, OS Therapies Incorporated (NYSE: OSTX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (-4.61% 1D, market cap $67.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OSTX ranks #481 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OSTX compare to ZYBT and RNXT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), OSTX carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ZYBT (Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.3%, cap $67.8M) and RNXT (RenovoRx Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MNOV leads on earnings multiple (5.7x) while ZYBT leads on capital efficiency (-22.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSTX?
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Per OSTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001795091), OS Therapies Incorporated generated $0 in revenue, -$28.8M in net income, and -$14.2M in free cash flow against $6.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-1.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE OSTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OSTX SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 8% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$1.62-18.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$1.32-5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$1.25-0.8% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$1.24-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OSTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OSTX currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.57) and Max Pain ($1.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OSTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.15 Expected Swing
$1.09 (-12.5%)Spot $1.24$1.39 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OSTX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 42/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (42/100)Model Risk Weight (58/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$28.8M-$14.2M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$8.9M-$7.3M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$7.8M-$3.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OSTX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OSTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OSTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.06%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.27H $1.28L $1.21C $1.24VOL 317.5K
RES: $1.84SUP: $1.19SMA50: $1.57SMA200: $1.56
$2.32$2.02$1.71$1.41$1.11RES $1.84SUP $1.19$1.242026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSTX)

Health Care Rank #481 of 1016 ⚔️ ZYBT vs OSTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (OSTX vs. ZYBT, RNXT, FBIO, MNOV)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OS Therapies Incorporated (OSTX) ranks #481 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #711 by equity capitalization ($67.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MNOV leads on earnings valuation at 5.7x trailing P/E, while ZYBT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -22.3% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. OSTX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OSTX ACTIVE
OS Therapies Incorporated
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% -4.61% $67.6M Benchmark Subject
ZYBT
Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A)
D- 40/100 — 20.5% -22.3% -9.09% $67.8M /zybt-vs-ostx →
RNXT
RenovoRx Inc.
E 31/100 — 70.9% -35.0% -10.74% $67.2M /rnxt-vs-ostx →
FBIO
Fortress Biotech Inc.
D- 39/100 — 66.9% -35.0% -4.00% $66.7M /fbio-vs-ostx →
MNOV
Medicinova Inc
E 30/100 5.7x — -35.0% 0.00% $68.9M /mnov-vs-ostx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001795091

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OS Therapies Incorporated (OSTX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$28.8M, operating cash flow of -$14.2M, and free cash flow of -$14.2M (-95.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSTX closed FY2025 with $6.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$28.8M -$14.2M -$14.2M $6.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$8.9M -$7.3M -$7.3M $5.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$7.8M -$3.0M -$3.0M — —

3. OSTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, OS Therapies Incorporated (NYSE: OSTX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (-4.61% 1D, market cap $67.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OSTX ranks #481 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OSTX compare to ZYBT and RNXT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), OSTX carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ZYBT (Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.3%, cap $67.8M) and RNXT (RenovoRx Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MNOV leads on earnings multiple (5.7x) while ZYBT leads on capital efficiency (-22.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSTX?

Per OSTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001795091), OS Therapies Incorporated generated $0 in revenue, -$28.8M in net income, and -$14.2M in free cash flow against $6.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OSTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSTX last traded at $1.24 (-4.61% on volume of 321,734 shares), positioning the stock -21.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.57) and -20.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.56). Across its 52-week range of $1.15 to $2.25, OSTX sits at the 8.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.09 to $1.39).

OSTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is OSTX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, OS Therapies Incorporated (OSTX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is OSTX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for OSTX, spanning a range between $1.09 and $1.39.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OSTX — OS Therapies Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OSTX carries an RQD score of 42 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -21.07%), Whale 13F Flow at 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is cash generation: the rating reflects negative return on invested capital and a negative free-cash-flow yield, which indicates the business is consuming rather than producing cash relative to its value. The Insider Conviction pillar, scored lowest at 3/20, signals limited insider-driven confidence signals in the source data. The Whale 13F Flow and Macro Regime pillars sit at the midpoint of their ranges, suggesting that institutional interest and market-beta exposure are not offsetting the fundamental weakness. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is also below midpoint, with a low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9. Upside drivers would need to come from outside the current cash-flow profile; the source data does not establish a near-term path to positive free cash flow. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data, so the investor cannot anchor price against earnings. Any evaluation should weigh the negative cash-flow and ROIC readings against the company's reported losses across the periods shown below.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-28.7M$-28.8MN/A$-14.2MN/AN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-6.8M$-8.9MN/A$-7.3MN/AN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-4.3M$-7.8MN/A$-3.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each period shown, and operating and net income are negative in all three. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data. ROIC is -35% per the market data, and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9 and Altman Z-Score is 2.5 per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt-to-equity is 0.5 per the same rating. Cash and debt balances are N/A in the reported financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the items are:

  • A Stock Titan item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) citing a figure of 72.7% three-year survival among treated patients versus 45.8% in historical comparisons. The source does not provide study context.
  • A StocksToTrade item (RED, RISK WATCH) titled "OSTX Stock Holds Tight Range As Traders Probe Weak Financials."
  • Multiple YELLOW MARKET WIRE items covering equity option grants: 200,000 options to the medical chief at a $1.25 exercise price, 900,000 options to the CEO vesting monthly subject to continued employment, and 300,000 options to the CFO at a $1.25 exercise price.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no upstream or downstream dependencies, no listed sector correlations, and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for supplier, customer, or bottleneck mapping. Investors should watch whether future filings or sources identify manufacturing, licensing, or clinical-trial partners, as these would be the principal second-order channels for a pharmaceutical preparations issuer, but the current source data does not establish them.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, approved indications, and revenue sources, given that reported revenue is $0.0M in all periods?
  • What is the cash and debt position, given that cash and debt are N/A in the reported financials?
  • What is the study context behind the 72.7% versus 45.8% survival figure, and how was it measured?
  • What is the planned funding path given negative free cash flow of $-14.2M in FY 2025?
  • How do the equity option grants relate to the company's capital and dilution profile?

OSTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OS Therapies Incorporated (OSTX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OSTX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OSTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.24?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OSTX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OSTX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.09 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OSTX (D- • RQD 42/100) a Buy at $1.24?

Welcome to the OSTX (OS Therapies Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.03 (-16.9%)
Spot @ $1.24

Pump the brakes on OSTX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OSTX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless OS Therapies Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.49 (+20.2%)
Spot @ $1.24

OSTX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OSTX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.24 (52-wk range $1.15 - $2.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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