OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$20.15 +0.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.21

OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (74% profit margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $742.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.21 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 20.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (14)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$29 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE OSPN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSPN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OSPN SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 85.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$18.22-4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$17.50+15.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$20.19-0.2% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$20.15+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSPN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, OSPN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 71.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.81) or 200D SMA ($14.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.42) toward Bear Floor ($16.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSPN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OSPN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
4.29% Total Yield
2.49% Cash ($0.50/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
23.8% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $21,193

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $909/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.6K
Yr 2
$12.5K
Yr 3
$13.5K
Yr 4
$14.6K
Yr 5
$15.7K
Yr 6
$16.9K
Yr 7
$18.2K
Yr 8
$19.7K
Yr 9
$21.2K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in OSPN & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on OSPN and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OSPN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +74.01%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $24.86H $27.45L $20.15C $20.15VOL 3.76M
RES: $22.23SUP: $17.83SMA50: $17.81SMA200: $14.06
$28.61$23.80$18.99$14.19$9.38RES $22.23SUP $17.83$20.152026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSPN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSPN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSPN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSPN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSPN)

Technology Rank #77 of 714 ⚔️ TASK vs OSPN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OSPN vs. TASK, PLTK, NRDS, YEXT)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #387 by equity capitalization ($742.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TASK leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while YEXT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.1% ROIC and 74.5% gross margin. NRDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 85/100 (A-) compared with OSPN at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OSPN ACTIVE
OneSpan Inc.
B 72/100 10.2x 73.8% 19.0% +0.35% $742.6M Benchmark Subject
TASK
TaskUs Inc. (Class A)
B 72/100 7.3x — 18.3% -0.73% $743.6M /task-vs-ospn →
PLTK
Playtika Holding Corp.
E 34/100 — 72.5% -0.3% -3.43% $751.4M /pltk-vs-ospn →
NRDS
NerdWallet Inc. (Class A)
A- 85/100 14.9x 92.4% 18.6% +6.37% $725.5M /nrds-vs-ospn →
YEXT
Yext Inc.
C 63/100 19.0x 74.5% 34.1% -0.27% $723.5M /yext-vs-ospn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001044777

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) reported GAAP revenue of $243.2M (+0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $243.2M , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $72.9M, operating cash flow of $59.5M, and free cash flow of $50.5M (+8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSPN closed FY2025 with $397.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.47, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $243.2M $72.9M $59.5M $50.5M $397.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $243.2M $57.1M $55.7M $46.4M $338.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $235.1M -$29.8M -$10.7M -$10.7M — —

3. OSPN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ: OSPN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $20.15 (+0.35% 1D, market cap $742.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OSPN ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OSPN compare to TASK and PLTK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), OSPN carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 73.8%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, TASK (TaskUs Inc. (Class A)) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $743.6M) and PLTK (Playtika Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $751.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TASK leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while YEXT leads on capital efficiency (34.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSPN?

Per OSPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001044777), OneSpan Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $72.9M in net income, and $50.5M in free cash flow against $397.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OSPN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSPN last traded at $20.15 (+0.35% on volume of 963,708 shares), positioning the stock +13.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.81) and +43.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.06). Across its 52-week range of $10.07 to $27.45, OSPN sits at the 58.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 85.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($18.22 to $22.08).

OSPN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does OSPN pay a dividend and is it safe?

OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) offers a 2.49% cash dividend yield ($0.50 annualized) and 4.29% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

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