Orion Group Holdings came into this Q3 2026 report with a reputation as a high multiples contractor priced for perfection, trading on a trailing P/E of 64.1x and carrying a mixed margin record. The stock jumped 9.8% to U
Why ORN Stock surged +9.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.05 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.7% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ORN Turnaround Squeeze
While ORN currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.98) and Max Pain ($9.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.27.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ORN Stock surged +9.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) surged +9.76% to $9.11, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($8.1 – $17.4). Stretched risk/reward at 149x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($8.1 – $17.4) with RSI-14 at 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.7% around $9.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 12.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
$115 Million Mission-Critical Project Marks Largest Concrete Award in Company HistoryHOUSTON, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN) (“Orion” or the “Company”), a leading specialty constr
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN) ("Orion" or the "Company"), a leading specialty construction company, today announced new contract awards and change orders totaling $250 million in the month of
2026-10-29. The following slide deck was published by Orion Group Holdings, Inc.
Revenue hit $256.2 million with 37% EBITDA growth as backlog reached $645 million.
Orion Group (NYSE:ORN) reported higher third-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA, citing active projects, strong equipment utilization, favorable operating conditions and execution across its marine and concrete operatio
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 9:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsMargaret Boyce - Director of Investor RelationsTravis...
MADRID and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Oryzon Genomics, S.A. (ISIN Code: ES0167733015, ORY), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company and global leader in epigenetics, announced today that its m
Orion Gr Hldgs (NYSE:ORN) reported third-quarter financial results on Wednesday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga APIs.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ORN)
- ✓Walkthrough of ORN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ORN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ORN)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ORN vs. LEGO, XTND, PKE, CDNL)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) ranks #304 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #315 by equity capitalization ($370.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ORN at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORN
ACTIVE
Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common | D | 50/100 | 148.9x | 12.4% | 7.1% | +9.76% | $370.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| LEGO Legato Merger Corp. IV | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +0.10% | $302.8M | /lego-vs-orn → |
| XTND Xtend AI Robotics Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.47% | $475.7M | /xtnd-vs-orn → |
| PKE Park Aerospace Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | — | 30.9% | 19.0% | +1.34% | $584.9M | /pke-vs-orn → |
| CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 55/100 | 33.7x | — | 54.6% | +1.51% | $765.5M | /cdnl-vs-orn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001402829In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (ORN) reported GAAP revenue of $852.3M (+7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $796.4M , and +19.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.5M, operating cash flow of $28.1M, and free cash flow of -$10.8M (-663.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ORN closed FY2025 with $414.7M in total assets against $6.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.05, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $852.3M | $2.5M | $28.1M | -$10.8M | $414.7M | $6.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $796.4M | -$1.6M | $12.7M | -$1.4M | $417.3M | $22.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $711.8M | -$17.9M | $17.2M | $17.2M | — | — |
3. ORN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ORN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common (NYSE: ORN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $9.11 (+9.76% 1D, market cap $370.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ORN ranks #304 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ORN compare to LEGO and XTND in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ORN carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 148.9x, gross margin of 12.4%, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, LEGO (Legato Merger Corp. IV) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $302.8M) and XTND (Xtend AI Robotics Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $475.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORN?
Per ORN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001402829), Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common generated $852.3M in revenue (+7.0% YoY), $2.5M in net income, and -$10.8M in free cash flow against $414.7M in total assets and $6.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ORN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ORN last traded at $9.11 (+9.76% on volume of 1,141,991 shares), positioning the stock +1.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.98) and -22.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.83). Across its 52-week range of $8.10 to $17.40, ORN sits at the 10.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($8.04 to $10.18).
ORN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ORN stock moving today?
Why ORN Stock surged +9.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 149x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.