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Why ORIO Stock dropped -3.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.86 -3.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.85
Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $20.5M
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Is ORIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Orion Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: ORIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $0.86 (-3.47% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ORIO ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ORIO compare to DRK and ARBK in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ORIO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRK (DarkHorse Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M) and ARBK (Argo Blockchain plc) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BLNE leads on capital efficiency (-30.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORIO?
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For Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #733 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.85 (-0.81%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ORIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ORIO SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($572.7K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$1.01-8.9% Next Q
56
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$0.92-5.4% Next Q
53
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$0.87-1.1% Next Q
51
CurrentGrade D$0.86-5.6% Hist 90D α
48
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ORIO Turnaround Squeeze
While ORIO currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.98) and Max Pain ($0.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.68.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ORIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ORIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ORIO Stock dropped -3.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) dropped -3.47% to $0.86, trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($0.61 – $1.6). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($0.61 – $1.6) with RSI-14 at 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $572713 annual free cash flow.
Live ORIO Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ORIO)
- ✓Walkthrough of ORIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ORIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.50%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $0.89H $0.89L $0.86C $0.86VOL 60.6K
RES: $1.27SUP: $0.84SMA50: $0.98SMA200: $0.96
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ORIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORIO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ORIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ORIO)
Financials Rank #733 of 1096
⚔️ DRK vs ORIO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ORIO vs. DRK, ARBK, BLNE, BGDE)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) ranks #733 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #1057 by equity capitalization ($20.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BLNE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ORIO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORIO
ACTIVE
Orion Digital Corp. | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -3.47% | $20.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| DRK DarkHorse Technologies Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.40% | $21.1M | /drk-vs-orio → |
| ARBK Argo Blockchain plc | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +3.14% | $21.9M | /arbk-vs-orio → |
| BLNE Beeline Holdings Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -30.5% | -5.13% | $22.0M | /blne-vs-orio → |
| BGDE Big Digital Energy Inc. | E | 22/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.03% | $22.1M | /bgde-vs-orio → |
2. ORIO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTOrion Digital Corp. (ORIO) operates in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $20.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. ORIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ORIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Orion Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: ORIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $0.86 (-3.47% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ORIO ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ORIO compare to DRK and ARBK in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ORIO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRK (DarkHorse Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M) and ARBK (Argo Blockchain plc) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BLNE leads on capital efficiency (-30.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORIO?
For Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #733 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ORIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ORIO last traded at $0.86 (-3.47% on volume of 60,601 shares), positioning the stock -12.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.98) and -10.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.96). Across its 52-week range of $0.61 to $1.60, ORIO sits at the 25.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.97).
ORIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ORIO stock moving today?
Why ORIO Stock dropped -3.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.