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Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.86 -3.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.85

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $20.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.85 (-0.81%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ORIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ORIO SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 26% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$1.00-12% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$0.88+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$0.89-3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$0.86+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ORIO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ORIO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.98) or 200D SMA ($0.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.87) toward Bear Floor ($0.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ORIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ORIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ORIO Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ORIO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ORIO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ORIO Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ORIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.31%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $0.86H $0.88L $0.86C $0.86VOL 44.7K

RES: $1.27SUP: $0.89SMA50: $0.98SMA200: $0.97

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ORIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ORIO Butterfly Map → + Track ORIO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ORIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ORIO)

Financials Rank #532 of 1096 ⚔️ DRK vs ORIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ORIO vs. DRK, ARBK, BLNE, BGDE)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) ranks #532 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #1057 by equity capitalization ($20.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BLNE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ORIO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ORIO ACTIVE Orion Digital Corp.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	-3.47%	$20.5M	Benchmark Subject
DRK DarkHorse Technologies Inc.	E	30/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.40%	$21.1M	/drk-vs-orio →
ARBK Argo Blockchain plc	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+3.14%	$21.9M	/arbk-vs-orio →
BLNE Beeline Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-30.5%	-5.13%	$22.0M	/blne-vs-orio →
BGDE Big Digital Energy Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.03%	$22.1M	/bgde-vs-orio →

2. ORIO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) operates in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $20.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ORIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ORIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Orion Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: ORIO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $0.86 (-3.47% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ORIO ranks #532 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ORIO compare to DRK and ARBK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ORIO carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRK (DarkHorse Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M) and ARBK (Argo Blockchain plc) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BLNE leads on capital efficiency (-30.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORIO?

For Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #532 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ORIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ORIO last traded at $0.86 (-3.47% on volume of 60,601 shares), positioning the stock -12.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.98) and -11.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.97). Across its 52-week range of $0.61 to $1.59, ORIO sits at the 25.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.97).

ORIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ORIO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ORIO leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: ORIO RQD Cockpit ORIO 12M Forecast ORIO Earnings & Move ORIO Dividends & DRIP ORIO Insiders & 13F ORIO Whale Options ORIO Profit Sankey ORIO News & Why