Stock Ratings / Financials / ONL / earnings

NLOP (30) EARN (58) SEVN (48) STRW (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.3% Move

$2.32 -4.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30

Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $132.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ONL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ONL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Orion Properties Inc. (NYSE: ONL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.32 (-4.92% 1D, market cap $132.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ONL ranks #914 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ONL compare to NLOP and EARN in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ONL carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -22.4%. By comparison, NLOP (Net Lease Office Properties of) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $134.8M) and EARN (Ellington Credit Company of) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 20.8x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $136.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SEVN leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while STRW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONL?

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Per ONL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001873923), Orion Properties Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$139.3M in net income, and $23.6M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.29 (-1.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ONL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ONL SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.15-8.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.96+14.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.25+3.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.32-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ONL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ONL currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.44) and Max Pain ($2.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ONL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ONL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.3% Swing Band

±$0.24 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ONL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 42/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (42/100)Model Risk Weight (58/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	-$139.3M	$23.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	-$103.0M	$54.3M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$57.3M	$89.1M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONL)

✓Walkthrough of ONL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ONL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.16%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $2.44H $2.44L $2.32C $2.32VOL 658.2K

RES: $3.07SUP: $1.85SMA50: $2.44SMA200: $2.56

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ONL Butterfly Map → + Track ONL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONL)

Financials Rank #914 of 1096 ⚔️ NLOP vs ONL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ONL vs. NLOP, EARN, SEVN, STRW)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) ranks #914 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #936 by equity capitalization ($132.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SEVN leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while STRW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. STRW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ONL at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ONL ACTIVE Orion Properties Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	-22.4%	-4.92%	$132.3M	Benchmark Subject
NLOP Net Lease Office Properties of	E	30/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.09%	$134.8M	/nlop-vs-onl →
EARN Ellington Credit Company of	D+	58/100	20.8x	—	3.4%	-2.15%	$136.7M	/earn-vs-onl →
SEVN Seven Hills Realty Trust	D	48/100	9.8x	—	4.7%	-0.45%	$150.9M	/sevn-vs-onl →
STRW Strawberry Fields REIT Inc.	C	63/100	23.5x	—	85.0%	+1.37%	$178.1M	/strw-vs-onl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001873923

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$139.3M, operating cash flow of $23.6M, and free cash flow of $23.6M (-56.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONL closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$139.3M	$23.6M	$23.6M	$1.17B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$103.0M	$54.3M	$54.3M	$1.34B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$57.3M	$89.1M	$89.1M	—	—

3. ONL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ONL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ONL compare to NLOP and EARN in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONL?

Where is ONL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ONL last traded at $2.32 (-4.92% on volume of 658,197 shares), positioning the stock -4.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.44) and -9.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.56). Across its 52-week range of $1.89 to $3.05, ONL sits at the 37.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($2.08 to $2.56).

ONL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ONL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Orion Properties Inc. (ONL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ONL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.3% event move for ONL, spanning a range between $2.08 and $2.56.

Direct Sub-Reports: ONL RQD Cockpit ONL 12M Forecast ONL Earnings & Move ONL Dividends & DRIP ONL Insiders & 13F ONL Whale Options ONL Profit Sankey ONL News & Why