MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why OMEX Stock dropped -3.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$13.14 -3.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.04
Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $30.8M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.04 (-0.74%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OMEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OMEX SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (33% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 92 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$0.73-12.3% Next Q
37
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$0.64-10.9% Next Q
40
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$0.57+2205.3% Next Q
42
CurrentGrade D$13.14-6.3% Hist 90D α
45
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OMEX Turnaround Squeeze
While OMEX currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.94) and Max Pain ($13.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $70.09.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OMEX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OMEX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why OMEX Stock dropped -3.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) dropped -3.03% to $13.14, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($9.59 – $66.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($9.59 – $66.75) with RSI-14 at 92 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $13.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live OMEX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OMEX)
- ✓Walkthrough of OMEX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OMEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1128.04%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $12.35H $13.14L $9.59C $13.14VOL 84.9K
RES: $0.99SUP: $0.46SMA50: $0.94SMA200: $1.12
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
OMEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OMEX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OMEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OMEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OMEX)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #754 of 1011
⚔️ EHLD vs OMEX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OMEX vs. EHLD, USEA, PSHG, SVRN)
Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) ranks #754 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #858 by equity capitalization ($30.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OMEX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. EHLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with OMEX at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OMEX
ACTIVE
Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.03% | $30.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| EHLD Euroholdings Ltd. | C+ | 68/100 | — | — | 33.1% | +2.17% | $33.1M | /ehld-vs-omex → |
| USEA United Maritime Corporation | D | 51/100 | — | — | -0.5% | +1.98% | $24.5M | /usea-vs-omex → |
| PSHG Performance Shipping Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | 14.9% | 0.00% | $20.4M | /pshg-vs-omex → |
| SVRN SVRN Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -18.5% | +1.93% | $58.4M | /svrn-vs-omex → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000798528In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$43.1M, operating cash flow of -$8.8M, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (-1688.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OMEX closed FY2025 with $15.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$43.1M | -$8.8M | -$8.9M | $15.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $15.7M | $642.3K | $558.0K | $18.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $9.3K | $5.3M | -$10.2M | -$10.2M | — | — |
3. OMEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OMEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (NASDAQ: OMEX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $13.14 (-3.03% 1D, market cap $30.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OMEX ranks #754 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OMEX compare to EHLD and USEA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), OMEX carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EHLD (Euroholdings Ltd.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 33.1%, cap $33.1M) and USEA (United Maritime Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $24.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OMEX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EHLD leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMEX?
Per OMEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000798528), Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$43.1M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $15.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OMEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OMEX last traded at $13.14 (-3.03% on volume of 54,531 shares), positioning the stock +1297.87% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.94) and +1073.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.12). Across its 52-week range of $9.59 to $66.75, OMEX sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 98.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.50 to $14.78).
OMEX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OMEX stock moving today?
Why OMEX Stock dropped -3.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.