Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / OMEX / earnings

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Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$13.14 -3.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.04

Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $30.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.04 (-0.74%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OMEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OMEX SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 92 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$0.73-12.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.64-10.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$0.57+2205.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$13.14-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OMEX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OMEX currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.94) and Max Pain ($13.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $70.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OMEX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OMEX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.64 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OMEX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	-$43.1M	-$8.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$15.7M	$558.0K	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$9.3K	$5.3M	-$10.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OMEX)

✓Walkthrough of OMEX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OMEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1128.04%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $12.35H $13.14L $9.59C $13.14VOL 84.9K

RES: $0.99SUP: $0.46SMA50: $0.94SMA200: $1.12

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OMEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OMEX Butterfly Map → + Track OMEX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OMEX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OMEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OMEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OMEX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #754 of 1011 ⚔️ EHLD vs OMEX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OMEX vs. EHLD, USEA, PSHG, SVRN)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) ranks #754 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #858 by equity capitalization ($30.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OMEX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. EHLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with OMEX at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OMEX ACTIVE Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.03%	$30.8M	Benchmark Subject
EHLD Euroholdings Ltd.	C+	68/100	—	—	33.1%	+2.17%	$33.1M	/ehld-vs-omex →
USEA United Maritime Corporation	D	51/100	—	—	-0.5%	+1.98%	$24.5M	/usea-vs-omex →
PSHG Performance Shipping Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	14.9%	0.00%	$20.4M	/pshg-vs-omex →
SVRN SVRN Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-18.5%	+1.93%	$58.4M	/svrn-vs-omex →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000798528

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$43.1M, operating cash flow of -$8.8M, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (-1688.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OMEX closed FY2025 with $15.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$43.1M	-$8.8M	-$8.9M	$15.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$15.7M	$642.3K	$558.0K	$18.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$9.3K	$5.3M	-$10.2M	-$10.2M	—	—

3. OMEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OMEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (NASDAQ: OMEX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $13.14 (-3.03% 1D, market cap $30.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OMEX ranks #754 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OMEX compare to EHLD and USEA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), OMEX carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EHLD (Euroholdings Ltd.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 33.1%, cap $33.1M) and USEA (United Maritime Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $24.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OMEX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EHLD leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMEX?

Per OMEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000798528), Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$43.1M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $15.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OMEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OMEX last traded at $13.14 (-3.03% on volume of 54,531 shares), positioning the stock +1297.87% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.94) and +1073.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.12). Across its 52-week range of $9.59 to $66.75, OMEX sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 98.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.50 to $14.78).

OMEX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is OMEX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is OMEX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for OMEX, spanning a range between $11.5 and $14.78.

Direct Sub-Reports: OMEX RQD Cockpit OMEX 12M Forecast OMEX Earnings & Move OMEX Dividends & DRIP OMEX Insiders & 13F OMEX Whale Options OMEX Profit Sankey OMEX News & Why