Stock Ratings / Health Care / OMER / earnings

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Omeros Corporation (OMER) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.5% Move

$18.95 +5.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.12

Omeros Corporation (OMER) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.37B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.12 (+0.89%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OMER)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OMER SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 85% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$19.83-18.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$16.20+2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$16.57+14.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$18.95-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OMER Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OMER currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.52) and Max Pain ($19.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.30.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OMER• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OMER Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.5% Swing Band

±$1.99 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OMER Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	-$116.2M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$0	-$149.0M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OMER)

✓Walkthrough of OMER's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OMER // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.79%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $18.53H $19.01L $18.05C $18.95VOL 884.5K

RES: $20.49SUP: $16.90SMA50: $18.52SMA200: $13.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OMER Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OMER Butterfly Map → + Track OMER →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OMER today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OMER. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OMER today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OMER)

Health Care Rank #443 of 1016 ⚔️ KRSA vs OMER Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (OMER vs. KRSA, DMRA, AAPG, KARD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Omeros Corporation (OMER) ranks #443 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #317 by equity capitalization ($1.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OMER leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while KRSA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. KARD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with OMER at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OMER ACTIVE Omeros Corporation	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	+5.98%	$1.37B	Benchmark Subject
KRSA Korsana Biosciences Inc.	E	33/100	—	—	-5.7%	+0.37%	$1.38B	/krsa-vs-omer →
DMRA Damora Therapeutics Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.85%	$1.36B	/dmra-vs-omer →
AAPG Ascentage Pharma Group International American Depository Shares	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-0.70%	$1.39B	/aapg-vs-omer →
KARD Kardigan Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+4.22%	$1.34B	/kard-vs-omer →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001285819

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Omeros Corporation (OMER) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$116.1M, and free cash flow of -$116.2M (+22.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, OMER closed FY2025 with $325.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	-$116.1M	-$116.2M	$325.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$0	-$148.8M	-$149.0M	$277.1M	—

3. OMER Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OMER stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Omeros Corporation (NASDAQ: OMER) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $18.95 (+5.98% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OMER ranks #443 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OMER compare to KRSA and DMRA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), OMER carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, KRSA (Korsana Biosciences Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.7%, cap $1.38B) and DMRA (Damora Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OMER leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while KRSA leads on capital efficiency (-5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMER?

Per OMER's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001285819), Omeros Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$116.2M in free cash flow against $325.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OMER trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OMER last traded at $18.95 (+5.98% on volume of 3,627,968 shares), positioning the stock +2.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.52) and +40.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.49). Across its 52-week range of $6.24 to $21.24, OMER sits at the 84.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($16.96 to $20.94).

OMER Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is OMER's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Omeros Corporation (OMER)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is OMER stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.5% event move for OMER, spanning a range between $16.96 and $20.94.

Direct Sub-Reports: OMER RQD Cockpit OMER 12M Forecast OMER Earnings & Move OMER Dividends & DRIP OMER Insiders & 13F OMER Whale Options OMER Profit Sankey OMER News & Why