Korsana Biosciences Inc. (KRSA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$30.22 +0.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.18

Korsana Biosciences Inc. (KRSA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.38B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.18 (-0.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$62 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE KRSA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KRSA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KRSA SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$33.92-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$32.38-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$31.31-3.5% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$30.22-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KRSA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KRSA currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.09) and Max Pain ($31.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $62.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KRSA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KRSA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE44% OF RANGE
L: $7$30.22H: $59
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on KRSA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-5.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -0.24% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (27)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KRSA
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KRSA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KRSA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KRSA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.43%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $30.00H $30.27L $29.29C $30.22VOL 104.2K
RES: $43.59SUP: $19.35SMA50: $31.09SMA200: $21.95
$38.86$32.25$25.64$19.03$12.42RES $43.59SUP $19.35$30.222026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KRSA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KRSA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KRSA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KRSA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KRSA)

Health Care Rank #859 of 1016 ⚔️ OMER vs KRSA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (KRSA vs. OMER, AAPG, DMRA, KARD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Korsana Biosciences Inc. (KRSA) ranks #859 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #315 by equity capitalization ($1.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KRSA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while KRSA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. KARD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with KRSA at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KRSA ACTIVE
Korsana Biosciences Inc.
E 33/100 — — -5.7% +0.37% $1.38B Benchmark Subject
OMER
Omeros Corporation
D 46/100 — — -35.0% +5.98% $1.37B /omer-vs-krsa →
AAPG
Ascentage Pharma Group International American Depository Shares
D+ 57/100 — — — -0.70% $1.39B /aapg-vs-krsa →
DMRA
Damora Therapeutics Inc.
D 47/100 — — -35.0% +1.85% $1.36B /dmra-vs-krsa →
KARD
Kardigan Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — +4.22% $1.34B /kard-vs-krsa →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001755237

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Korsana Biosciences Inc. (KRSA) reported GAAP revenue of $2.1M (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.0M ) , GAAP net income of -$3.5M, operating cash flow of -$3.3M, and free cash flow of -$3.3M (+23.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, KRSA closed FY2025 with $10.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.1M -$3.5M -$3.3M -$3.3M $10.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.0M -$3.1M -$4.3M -$4.3M $9.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$5.3M -$21.2M -$21.2M — —

3. KRSA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KRSA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Korsana Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: KRSA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $30.22 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $1.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KRSA ranks #859 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KRSA compare to OMER and AAPG in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), KRSA carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.7%. By comparison, OMER (Omeros Corporation) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.37B) and AAPG (Ascentage Pharma Group International American Depository Shares) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KRSA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while KRSA leads on capital efficiency (-5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRSA?

Per KRSA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001755237), Korsana Biosciences Inc. generated $2.1M in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$3.5M in net income, and -$3.3M in free cash flow against $10.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KRSA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KRSA last traded at $30.22 (+0.37% on volume of 138,999 shares), positioning the stock -2.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.09) and +37.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.95). Across its 52-week range of $7.19 to $59.36, KRSA sits at the 44.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($26.44 to $34.00).

KRSA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KRSA stock right now?

Korsana Biosciences Inc. (KRSA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 33/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is KRSA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KRSA's 12-month base price target is $26.82 (range $20.92 to $62.33), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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