The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.23 -14.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.22

The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $8.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OLB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, The OLB Group Inc. (NASDAQ: OLB) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.23 (-14.36% 1D, market cap $8.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OLB ranks #835 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OLB compare to QH and AXNX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), OLB carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, QH (Quhuo Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.3M) and AXNX (Axonex AI Group Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OLB leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLB?
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Per OLB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001314196), The OLB Group Inc. generated $8.7M in revenue (-32.4% YoY), -$6.7M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $12.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.22 (-2.77%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.7% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE OLB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OLB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OLB SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$0.65-29.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$0.46-39.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$0.28-17.9% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$0.23-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OLB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OLB currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.30) and Max Pain ($0.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OLB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OLB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OLB)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OLB.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OLB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OLB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OLB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.18%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $0.28H $0.28L $0.23C $0.23VOL 204.8K
RES: $0.82SUP: $0.08SMA50: $0.30SMA200: $0.44
$1.00$0.78$0.56$0.33$0.11RES $0.82SUP $0.08$0.232026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OLB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -32.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OLB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #835 of 1011 ⚔️ QH vs OLB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OLB vs. QH, AXNX, XHLD, KRKR)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) ranks #835 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #941 by equity capitalization ($8.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OLB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. KRKR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with OLB at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OLB ACTIVE
The OLB Group Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -14.36% $8.4M Benchmark Subject
QH
Quhuo Limited (Class A)
E 22/100 — 0.5% -35.0% -1.00% $8.3M /qh-vs-olb →
AXNX
Axonex AI Group Limited (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — — +2.91% $6.5M /axnx-vs-olb →
XHLD
TEN Holdings Inc.
E 18/100 — 78.6% -35.0% -21.00% $12.0M /xhld-vs-olb →
KRKR
36Kr Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -1.69% $5.8M /krkr-vs-olb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001314196

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) reported GAAP revenue of $8.7M (-32.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.8M , and -71.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.7M, operating cash flow of -$1.3M, and free cash flow of -$1.3M (+48.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLB closed FY2025 with $12.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.7M -$6.7M -$1.3M -$1.3M $12.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.8M -$11.3M -$2.6M -$2.6M $12.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $30.6M -$17.6M $2.0M $2.0M — —

3. OLB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OLB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, The OLB Group Inc. (NASDAQ: OLB) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.23 (-14.36% 1D, market cap $8.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OLB ranks #835 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OLB compare to QH and AXNX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), OLB carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, QH (Quhuo Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.3M) and AXNX (Axonex AI Group Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OLB leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLB?

Per OLB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001314196), The OLB Group Inc. generated $8.7M in revenue (-32.4% YoY), -$6.7M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $12.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OLB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OLB last traded at $0.23 (-14.36% on volume of 504,427 shares), positioning the stock -23.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.30) and -47.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.44). Across its 52-week range of $0.18 to $1.80, OLB sits at the 3.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.26).

OLB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OLB's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for OLB.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OLB — The OLB Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:52:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OLB scores 34 out of 100, a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -15.79%. For an investor, this means the business is currently not generating returns on invested capital or free cash, so intrinsic value support from operations is weak.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source does not provide the underlying 13F detail, so the score cannot be traced to specific holders.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The lowest pillar score signals weak insider-side conviction in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta of 1.0 means the stock moves in line with the market, and the low pillar score reflects weak alignment with the current regime as assessed by the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. A Piotroski score of 2 out of 9 indicates weak financial-quality signals, which is a central reason for the "Forensic Risk" label.

Taken together, the rating points to limited upside drivers from operations, weak insider conviction, and balance-sheet quality concerns. Any valuation case would depend on a turnaround that the source data does not evidence. The rating is analytical and educational, not personalized advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$8.7M$-5.2M$-6.7MN/A$-1.3MN/AN/A
FY 2024$12.8M$-11.7M$-11.3MN/A$-2.6M$0.0MN/A
FY 2023$30.6M$-23.5M$-17.6MN/A$2.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $30.6M in FY 2023 to $8.7M in FY 2025, and every reported period shows a negative operating and net income. Per the market data, operating margin is -59.5%, net margin is -60%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 are cited in the RQD rating, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Not available in source data for the sources of cash and debt balances beyond the figures shown above.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news, several headlines describe a share buyback launch, suspension of an at-the-market (ATM) equity program, and an authorization to buy back 1,000,000 shares. Headlines also note a sharp intraday move, including one reporting shares tumbling 29% after hours, and another reporting the stock gaining 141.0%. All six items are tagged CATALYST with a GREEN light. The source does not provide detail on the reasons for these moves, and the headlines conflict on direction, so the catalyst signal should be read cautiously. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What products or services does OLB sell, and who are its customers?
  • What explains the revenue decline from $30.6M in FY 2023 to $8.7M in FY 2025?
  • What are the cash and debt balances, which are reported as N/A for most periods?
  • Which of the conflicting intraday moves and buyback announcements reflects the current position?
  • What is the source of the $0.0B versus $8.4M market capitalization discrepancy?

OLB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OLB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OLB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.23?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OLB 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OLB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.24 (-11.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OLB (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $0.27?

Welcome to the OLB (The OLB Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.21 (-22.2%)
Spot @ $0.27

Pump the brakes on OLB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OLB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless The OLB Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.33 (+22.2%)
Spot @ $0.27

OLB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OLB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.27 (52-wk range $0.18 - $1.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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