MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why OLB Stock dropped -3.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.27 -3.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.27
The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $8.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.27 (-0.79%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OLB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OLB SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (32% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$0.50-12% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$0.44-34.1% Next Q
42
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$0.29-6.9% Next Q
40
CurrentGrade D-$0.27-8.1% Hist 90D α
37
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OLB Turnaround Squeeze
While OLB currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.30) and Max Pain ($0.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.89.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OLB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OLB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why OLB Stock dropped -3.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) dropped -3.33% to $0.27, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($0.18 – $1.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($0.18 – $1.8) with RSI-14 at 39 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live OLB Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OLB)
- ✓Walkthrough of OLB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OLB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $0.27H $0.27L $0.23C $0.27VOL 441.6K
RES: $0.82SUP: $0.09SMA50: $0.30SMA200: $0.44
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
OLB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -32.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OLB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLB)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #878 of 1011
⚔️ QH vs OLB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OLB vs. QH, AXNX, XHLD, KRKR)
Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) ranks #878 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #941 by equity capitalization ($8.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OLB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. KRKR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with OLB at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLB
ACTIVE
The OLB Group Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.33% | $8.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| QH Quhuo Limited (Class A) | E | 32/100 | — | 0.5% | -35.0% | -0.99% | $8.3M | /qh-vs-olb → |
| AXNX Axonex AI Group Limited (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +9.57% | $6.5M | /axnx-vs-olb → |
| XHLD TEN Holdings Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 78.6% | -35.0% | +3.09% | $12.0M | /xhld-vs-olb → |
| KRKR 36Kr Holdings Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $5.8M | /krkr-vs-olb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001314196In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The OLB Group Inc. (OLB) reported GAAP revenue of $8.7M (-32.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.8M , and -71.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.7M, operating cash flow of -$1.3M, and free cash flow of -$1.3M (+48.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLB closed FY2025 with $12.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.7M | -$6.7M | -$1.3M | -$1.3M | $12.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $12.8M | -$11.3M | -$2.6M | -$2.6M | $12.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $30.6M | -$17.6M | $2.0M | $2.0M | — | — |
3. OLB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OLB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, The OLB Group Inc. (NASDAQ: OLB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $0.27 (-3.33% 1D, market cap $8.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OLB ranks #878 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OLB compare to QH and AXNX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), OLB carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, QH (Quhuo Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.3M) and AXNX (Axonex AI Group Limited (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OLB leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLB?
Per OLB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001314196), The OLB Group Inc. generated $8.7M in revenue (-32.4% YoY), -$6.7M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $12.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OLB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OLB last traded at $0.27 (-3.33% on volume of 204,764 shares), positioning the stock -10.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.30) and -38.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.44). Across its 52-week range of $0.18 to $1.80, OLB sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.30).
OLB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OLB stock moving today?
Why OLB Stock dropped -3.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.