Stock Ratings / Financials / OCSL / options

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Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$12.13 +2.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.17

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.07B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.17 (+0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OCSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OCSL SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$11.60-0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$11.57-1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$11.44+6% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$12.13+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OCSL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, OCSL faces multiple-compression risk if 31.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.23) or 200D SMA ($12.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.57) toward Bear Floor ($9.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OCSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OCSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4.6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OCSL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OCSL.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating OCSL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on OCSL
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OCSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.88%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $12.24H $12.24L $12.00C $12.13VOL 439.0K

RES: $13.44SUP: $11.15SMA50: $12.23SMA200: $12.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OCSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OCSL Butterfly Map → + Track OCSL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OCSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OCSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OCSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OCSL)

Financials Rank #284 of 1096 ⚔️ PICS vs OCSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OCSL vs. PICS, RHLD, WD, PSEC)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) ranks #284 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #539 by equity capitalization ($1.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WD leads on earnings valuation at 21.2x trailing P/E, while RHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. RHLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with OCSL at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OCSL ACTIVE Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation	C+	66/100	31.5x	—	2.4%	+2.80%	$1.07B	Benchmark Subject
PICS PicS N.V. (Class A)	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.51%	$1.02B	/pics-vs-ocsl →
RHLD Resolute Holdings Management	B	72/100	—	—	85.0%	+0.32%	$977.9M	/rhld-vs-ocsl →
WD Walker & Dunlop Inc	D+	53/100	21.2x	—	3.2%	+1.40%	$1.19B	/wd-vs-ocsl →
PSEC Prospect Capital Corporation	D	50/100	—	—	-16.6%	+6.58%	$864.8M	/psec-vs-ocsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001414932

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $33.9M, operating cash flow of $228.4M, and free cash flow of $228.4M (+1097.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OCSL closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$0	$33.9M	$228.4M	$228.4M	$3.10B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$0	$57.9M	$19.1M	$19.1M	$3.08B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$0	$117.3M	$228.8M	$228.8M	—	—

3. OCSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OCSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (NASDAQ: OCSL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $12.13 (+2.80% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OCSL ranks #284 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OCSL compare to PICS and RHLD in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), OCSL carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, PICS (PicS N.V. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.02B) and RHLD (Resolute Holdings Management) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $977.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WD leads on earnings multiple (21.2x) while RHLD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCSL?

Per OCSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001414932), Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $33.9M in net income, and $228.4M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OCSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OCSL last traded at $12.13 (+2.80% on volume of 378,883 shares), positioning the stock -0.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.23) and +0.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.08). Across its 52-week range of $10.63 to $13.94, OCSL sits at the 45.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($11.57 to $12.69).