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NextPlat Corp (NXPL) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is NXPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NextPlat Corp (NASDAQ: NXPL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $8.30 (-2.35% 1D, market cap $22.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXPL ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does NXPL compare to UTSI and SNT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NXPL carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UTSI (UTStarcom Holdings Corp.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M) and SNT (Senstar Technologies Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $38.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNT leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while SNT leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPL?

Per NXPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001058307), NextPlat Corp generated $54.3M in revenue (-17.8% YoY), -$10.5K in net income, and -$6.2M in free cash flow against $27.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is NXPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXPL last traded at $8.30 (-2.35% on volume of 10,115 shares), positioning the stock -8.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.03) and +21.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.82). Across its 52-week range of $3.40 to $9.94, NXPL sits at the 74.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.26 to $9.34).

Q: What is NXPL's 12-month stock price target?

NextPlat Corp (NXPL) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.14 (-14% from $8.30), with a bull-case target of $10.44 and a bear-case floor of $5.57.

Q: Is NXPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NXPL E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 27/100.

$8.30 -2.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.25

NextPlat Corp (NXPL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $22.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.25 (-0.61%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NXPL SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$9.00+5.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.50-10.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$8.50-2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade E$8.30-10.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXPL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXPL currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.03) and Max Pain ($8.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXPL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NXPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 27%NO 73%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NXPL Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.30: 1204.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.57

$6,711

$-3,289 (-32.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.14

$8,602

$-1,398 (-14.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.44

$12,578

+$2,578 (+25.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$7	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$10	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$6	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXPL)

✓Walkthrough of NXPL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NXPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.89%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $8.39H $8.79L $7.91C $8.30VOL 25.3K

RES: $9.83SUP: $6.34SMA50: $9.03SMA200: $6.82

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NXPL Butterfly Map → + Track NXPL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXPL)

Communication Services Rank #128 of 132 ⚔️ UTSI vs NXPL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NXPL vs. UTSI, SNT, KSCP, IQST)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextPlat Corp (NXPL) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #114 by equity capitalization ($22.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SNT leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while SNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 65.5% gross margin. SNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NXPL at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NXPL ACTIVE NextPlat Corp	E	27/100	—	20.1%	-35.0%	-2.35%	$22.5M	Benchmark Subject
UTSI UTStarcom Holdings Corp.	D-	40/100	—	11.7%	-35.0%	+0.45%	$21.1M	/utsi-vs-nxpl →
SNT Senstar Technologies Corporation	D+	55/100	12.0x	65.5%	11.4%	+2.48%	$38.5M	/snt-vs-nxpl →
KSCP Knightscope Inc. (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-1.92%	$12.0M	/kscp-vs-nxpl →
IQST iQSTEL Inc.	D	51/100	—	3.0%	-23.7%	-0.13%	$9.7M	/iqst-vs-nxpl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001058307

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NextPlat Corp (NXPL) reported GAAP revenue of $54.3M (-17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $66.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$10.5K, operating cash flow of -$6.1M, and free cash flow of -$6.2M (-9.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXPL closed FY2025 with $27.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$54.3M	-$10.5K	-$6.1M	-$6.2M	$27.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$66.1M	-$22.5K	-$5.5M	-$5.7M	$37.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$12.4K	-$3.6M	-$3.6M	—	—

3. NXPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NextPlat Corp (NASDAQ: NXPL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $8.30 (-2.35% 1D, market cap $22.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXPL ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXPL compare to UTSI and SNT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NXPL carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UTSI (UTStarcom Holdings Corp.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M) and SNT (Senstar Technologies Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $38.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNT leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while SNT leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPL?

Per NXPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001058307), NextPlat Corp generated $54.3M in revenue (-17.8% YoY), -$10.5K in net income, and -$6.2M in free cash flow against $27.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXPL last traded at $8.30 (-2.35% on volume of 10,115 shares), positioning the stock -8.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.03) and +21.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.82). Across its 52-week range of $3.40 to $9.94, NXPL sits at the 74.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.26 to $9.34).

NXPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NXPL's 12-month stock price target?

NextPlat Corp (NXPL) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.14 (-14% from $8.30), with a bull-case target of $10.44 and a bear-case floor of $5.57.